Oleksandr Belskyi vs Dmytro Neborak 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12421847

Played Aug 13Finished

Oleksandr Belskyi

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1171161012311811

Dmytro Neborak

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingOleksandr Belskyi above · Dmytro Neborak below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 3-11

Set 5 · 8-11

Point 90 set 5, 8-11

90 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Belskyi 11–18 Dmytro Neborak Oleksandr Belskyi has won 11 of their 29 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Belskyi)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Neborak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBelskyi 1.57 / Neborak 2.25

Signal prob.58% / 42%

Edge (Belskyi)-1.0pp

Setka Cup · #12421847

Belskyi1.57

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Neborak2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog35% won 119 of 342

Down 0–1, comes back17% 35 of 210

Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 134

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBelskyi3wins

AwayNeborak7wins

2 of 10 to a deciderNeborak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBelskyi60%3 of 5

AwayNeborak100%5 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Belskyi5Neborak5n = 10split evenly

S2Belskyi5Neborak5n = 10split evenly

S3Belskyi6Neborak4n = 10Belskyi took 6 of 10

S4Belskyi2Neborak6n = 8Neborak took 6 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away550%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricBelskyiNeborakB − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.835.7+0.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBelskyiNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 115 vs 304 / 86140%35.3%46 / 115 vs 304 / 861Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Belskyi

Belskyi 1.57/Neborak 2.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

57.9%

Belskyi · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Neborak won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 13 · 05:05O. Belskyi—491121D. Neborak—11116113

LAug 12 · 12:00O. Belskyi—911761D. Neborak—11911113

LJun 20 · 06:50O. Belskyi—751181D. Neborak—11114113

WJun 19 · 14:50O. Belskyi—111011113D. Neborak—312651

LMay 16 · 09:50O. Belskyi—114951D. Neborak—81111113

WMay 15 · 20:20O. Belskyi—1111113D. Neborak—5490

LMay 1 · 09:35O. Belskyi—1161111102D. Neborak—111713123

LApr 30 · 12:40O. Belskyi—1111861D. Neborak—13511113

LApr 18 · 06:30O. Belskyi—91191132D. Neborak—118116113

WApr 17 · 16:15O. Belskyi—1311113D. Neborak—11930

O. Belskyi10

LAug 13 · 09:05O. Ivchuk1.8371111113O. Belskyi1.83118551 WAug 13 · 07:35I. Hermakivskyi1.5311117652O. Belskyi2.38851111113 LAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950 LAug 13 · 05:05D. Neborak1.6111116113O. Belskyi2.20491121 LAug 12 · 16:00O. Ivchuk2.001111113O. Belskyi1.736950 LAug 12 · 14:30I. Hermakivskyi1.7311814113O. Belskyi2.002111281 LAug 12 · 13:00O. Bondarchuk1.221111113O. Belskyi4.008280 LAug 12 · 12:00D. Neborak1.6711911113O. Belskyi2.10911761 LJun 20 · 12:20O. Belskyi4.0011711552O. Bondarchuk1.22711311113 LJun 20 · 10:20M. Zavada1.281316113O. Belskyi3.50111430

D. Neborak10

LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123 WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992 WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670 WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532 WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641 WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080 WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103 LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191 WAug 13 · 05:05D. Neborak1.6111116113O. Belskyi2.20491121 WAug 12 · 12:00D. Neborak1.6711911113O. Belskyi2.10911761

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