TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079113
Played Sep 5Finished
Yevhen Masko
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811811118118210
Dmytro Neborak
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Dmytro Neborak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 2-10
Point 88 set 5, 2-10 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 73.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 14–10 Dmytro Neborak Dmytro Neborak has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:20What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Masko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Masko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1723 vs Neborak 1673
Masko
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 80% vs Neborak 20%
Masko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 60% vs Neborak 30%
Masko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko +3 · Neborak -2
Masko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 1.30 / Neborak 3.40
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Masko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079113
Masko1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 139 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it90% 111 of 124
Neborak3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 117 of 332
Down 0–1, comes back17% 34 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back10% 12 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko6wins
AwayNeborak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko83.3%5 of 6
AwayNeborak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko6Neborak4n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S2Masko7Neborak3n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S3Masko6Neborak4n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S4Masko5Neborak2n = 7Masko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoNeborakM − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.433.7+4.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 753 vs 299 / 83457.6%35.9%434 / 753 vs 299 / 834Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoMasko 1.30/Neborak 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.7%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Neborak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko—88111122D. Neborak—111188103
WAug 23 · 14:55Y. Masko—81111113D. Neborak—117281
LAug 22 · 16:25Y. Masko—991161D. Neborak—11119113
WJun 13 · 06:50Y. Masko—1311113D. Neborak—11880
LJun 12 · 15:20Y. Masko—1411961D. Neborak—16511113
WApr 25 · 06:20Y. Masko—11119113D. Neborak—561171
WApr 24 · 17:20Y. Masko—1111113D. Neborak—5360
LJul 25 · 06:20Y. Masko—11391132D. Neborak—511115113
WJul 24 · 16:50Y. Masko—1411113D. Neborak—12970
WJul 11 · 10:20Y. Masko—15118113D. Neborak—1351161
Y. Masko10
LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160WSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko1.221161383R. Reznychenko4.005111151WSep 5 · 13:55Y. Masko1.44121111103E. Pismenniy2.631013971LSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931
D. Neborak10
LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191LSep 5 · 15:25D. Neborak2.63111115972R. Cherevko1.44981711103WSep 5 · 14:25R. Reznychenko4.0093140D. Neborak1.221111163LAug 30 · 09:30S. Hohenko1.2511117113D. Neborak3.75501161
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