TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084746
Played Sep 6Finished
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 1
Set by set
116119101288––
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:37 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingEvgeniy Pismenniy above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-8
Point 75 set 4, 8-8 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 66.5%
75 points played in total.
H2H Evgeniy Pismenniy 75–143 Yevhen Masko Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 75 of their 218 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:37What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Masko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
75-143 in 218
Masko
Wrong
gap of 68 in 218, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pismenniy 1527 vs Masko 1723
Masko
Wrong
both rated, 196 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pismenniy 0% vs Masko 60%
Masko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pismenniy 10% vs Masko 50%
Masko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pismenniy -5 · Masko -2
Pismenniy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pismenniy form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPismenniy 2.50 / Masko 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Masko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084746
Pismenniy2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog23% won 59 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back7% 11 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 98
Masko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 142 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it99% 85 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it90% 114 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePismenniy3wins
AwayMasko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePismenniy66.7%2 of 3
AwayMasko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pismenniy3Masko7n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S2Pismenniy1Masko9n = 10Masko took 9 of 10
S3Pismenniy4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S4Pismenniy5Masko2n = 7Pismenniy took 5 of 7
S5Pismenniy2Masko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPismenniyMaskoP − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.341.6−4.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPismenniyMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 714 vs 434 / 75329.8%57.6%213 / 714 vs 434 / 753Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoPismenniy 2.50/Masko 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–1
Pismenniy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 01:25E. Pismenniy—571171Y. Masko—11118113
WAug 29 · 19:55E. Pismenniy—911618113Y. Masko—115111692
LAug 29 · 02:55E. Pismenniy—81090Y. Masko—1112113
WAug 23 · 16:55E. Pismenniy—1171111143Y. Masko—711137122
LAug 22 · 14:55E. Pismenniy—591111102Y. Masko—111158123
LAug 21 · 23:25E. Pismenniy—114861Y. Masko—81111113
LAug 15 · 17:55E. Pismenniy—107111142Y. Masko—121196113
LAug 14 · 23:25E. Pismenniy—89130Y. Masko—1111153
WAug 9 · 17:55E. Pismenniy—11914123Y. Masko—31112101
LAug 8 · 14:25E. Pismenniy—5530Y. Masko—111173
E. Pismenniy10
WSep 6 · 19:55E. Pismenniy1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107950LSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652WSep 6 · 15:55V. Melnik1.5310860E. Pismenniy2.381211113LSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080LSep 5 · 18:55E. Pismenniy2.63711691R. Cherevko1.4411511113LSep 5 · 16:55R. Reznychenko1.911111910123E. Pismenniy1.80991112102LSep 5 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.111112113E. Pismenniy6.0081080LSep 5 · 13:55Y. Masko1.44121111103E. Pismenniy2.631013971LSep 5 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.111211113E. Pismenniy6.0010870
Y. Masko10
LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160LSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103WSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko1.221161383R. Reznychenko4.005111151WSep 5 · 13:55Y. Masko1.44121111103E. Pismenniy2.631013971LSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931
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