TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079317
Played Sep 5Finished
Yevhen Masko
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115611131185––
Roman Reznychenko
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Roman Reznychenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 8-5
Point 70 set 4, 8-5 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 75.3%
70 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 172–51 Roman Reznychenko Roman Reznychenko has won 51 of their 223 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
172-51 in 223
Masko
Correct
gap of 121 in 223, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1730 vs Reznychenko 1539
Masko
Correct
both rated, 191 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 60% vs Reznychenko 20%
Masko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 50% vs Reznychenko 30%
Masko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko +1 · Reznychenko -4
Reznychenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Masko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 1.22 / Reznychenko 4.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Masko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079317
Masko1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 139 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it90% 111 of 124
Reznychenko4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 95 of 292
Down 0–1, comes back13% 22 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko8wins
AwayReznychenko2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko100%6 of 6
AwayReznychenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko6Reznychenko4n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S2Masko5Reznychenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Masko5Reznychenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Masko5Reznychenko3n = 8Masko took 5 of 8
S5Masko4Reznychenko0n = 4Masko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoReznychenkoM − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.337.6+5.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoReznychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime432 / 749 vs 237 / 72257.7%32.8%432 / 749 vs 237 / 722Avg sets wonper match2.11.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.433.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoMasko 1.22/Reznychenko 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 18:55Y. Masko—1081191R. Reznychenko—12117113
WAug 22 · 13:25Y. Masko—1111911113R. Reznychenko—38111382
WAug 22 · 04:25Y. Masko—11811113R. Reznychenko—911841
LAug 15 · 13:25Y. Masko—711100R. Reznychenko—1113123
WAug 15 · 04:25Y. Masko—14111011113R. Reznychenko—16912892
WAug 9 · 19:55Y. Masko—1111104113R. Reznychenko—85121192
WAug 8 · 16:25Y. Masko—111012113R. Reznychenko—4121031
WAug 7 · 23:25Y. Masko—1212113R. Reznychenko—101070
WAug 2 · 17:55Y. Masko—117611123R. Reznychenko—511118102
WAug 1 · 13:25Y. Masko—101111113R. Reznychenko—125341
Y. Masko10
LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160LSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103WSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 13:55Y. Masko1.44121111103E. Pismenniy2.631013971LSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931
R. Reznychenko10
LSep 6 · 19:55E. Pismenniy1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107950WSep 6 · 18:55R. Cherevko1.676111071R. Reznychenko2.1011712113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3691142R. Reznychenko3.0011831LSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641LSep 5 · 19:55R. Reznychenko2.10511371R. Cherevko1.6711711113LSep 5 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111116113R. Reznychenko6.00781161WSep 5 · 16:55R. Reznychenko1.911111910123E. Pismenniy1.80991112102LSep 5 · 14:25R. Reznychenko4.0093140D. Neborak1.221111163LSep 5 · 04:25R. Reznychenko2.5010850R. Cherevko1.501211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.