TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079257
Played Sep 5Finished
Roman Reznychenko
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9113111416––––
Dmytro Neborak
Away
1.22
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:40 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timeDmytro Neborak to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Reznychenko above · Dmytro Neborak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 14-16
Point 64 set 3, 14-16 — our read held Dmytro Neborak at 77.4%
64 points played in total.
H2H Roman Reznychenko 0–2 Dmytro Neborak Roman Reznychenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:40What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Neborak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Reznychenko 1533 vs Neborak 1673
Neborak
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reznychenko 20% vs Neborak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reznychenko 40% vs Neborak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reznychenko -3 · Neborak -2
Reznychenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Neborak) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neborak form (20%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReznychenko 4.00 / Neborak 1.22
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Neborak)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13079257
Reznychenko4.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 95 of 292
Down 0–1, comes back13% 22 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 119
Neborak1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 36 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeReznychenko0wins
AwayNeborak2wins
Neborak leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricReznychenkoNeborakR − NBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReznychenkoNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 726 vs 299 / 83432.8%35.9%238 / 726 vs 299 / 834Avg sets wonper match1.41.7per matchAvg pointsper match33.635.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeborakReznychenko 4.00/Neborak 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Neborak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Neborak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 23 · 13:25R. Reznychenko—6960D. Neborak—1111113
LAug 22 · 15:25R. Reznychenko—9640D. Neborak—1111113
R. Reznychenko10
LSep 6 · 19:55E. Pismenniy1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107950WSep 6 · 18:55R. Cherevko1.676111071R. Reznychenko2.1011712113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3691142R. Reznychenko3.0011831LSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641LSep 5 · 19:55R. Reznychenko2.10511371R. Cherevko1.6711711113LSep 5 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111116113R. Reznychenko6.00781161WSep 5 · 16:55R. Reznychenko1.911111910123E. Pismenniy1.80991112102LSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko1.221161383R. Reznychenko4.005111151LSep 5 · 04:25R. Reznychenko2.5010850R. Cherevko1.501211113
D. Neborak10
LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191LSep 5 · 15:25D. Neborak2.63111115972R. Cherevko1.44981711103LAug 30 · 09:30S. Hohenko1.2511117113D. Neborak3.75501161
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