TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084353
Played Sep 6Finished
Yevhen Masko
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119117––––
Roman Reznychenko
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Roman Reznychenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 57 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 75.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 174–53 Roman Reznychenko Roman Reznychenko has won 53 of their 227 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
174-53 in 227
Masko
Correct
gap of 121 in 227, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1705 vs Reznychenko 1546
Masko
Correct
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 40% vs Reznychenko 20%
Masko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 50% vs Reznychenko 20%
Masko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko -3 · Reznychenko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reznychenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 1.33 / Reznychenko 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Masko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084353
Masko1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 142 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it99% 85 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it90% 114 of 127
Reznychenko3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 96 of 298
Down 0–1, comes back12% 22 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko6wins
AwayReznychenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko100%5 of 5
AwayReznychenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko5Reznychenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Masko4Reznychenko6n = 10Reznychenko took 6 of 10
S3Masko5Reznychenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Masko3Reznychenko4n = 7Reznychenko took 4 of 7
S5Masko3Reznychenko0n = 3Masko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoReznychenkoM − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.9+1.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoReznychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime430 / 749 vs 236 / 72357.4%32.6%430 / 749 vs 236 / 723Avg sets wonper match2.11.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.433.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoMasko 1.33/Reznychenko 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko—1161383R. Reznychenko—5111151
LSep 4 · 23:25Y. Masko—871151R. Reznychenko—11117113
WAug 29 · 15:25Y. Masko—1111113R. Reznychenko—7680
LAug 29 · 01:25Y. Masko—51180R. Reznychenko—1113113
LAug 23 · 18:55Y. Masko—1081191R. Reznychenko—12117113
WAug 22 · 13:25Y. Masko—1111911113R. Reznychenko—38111382
WAug 22 · 04:25Y. Masko—11811113R. Reznychenko—911841
LAug 15 · 13:25Y. Masko—711100R. Reznychenko—1113123
WAug 15 · 04:25Y. Masko—14111011113R. Reznychenko—16912892
WAug 9 · 19:55Y. Masko—1111104113R. Reznychenko—85121192
Y. Masko10
LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670LSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160LSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103WSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko1.221161383R. Reznychenko4.005111151WSep 5 · 13:55Y. Masko1.44121111103E. Pismenniy2.631013971LSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931
R. Reznychenko10
LSep 6 · 19:55E. Pismenniy1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107950WSep 6 · 18:55R. Cherevko1.676111071R. Reznychenko2.1011712113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3691142R. Reznychenko3.0011831LSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641LSep 5 · 19:55R. Reznychenko2.10511371R. Cherevko1.6711711113LSep 5 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111116113R. Reznychenko6.00781161WSep 5 · 16:55R. Reznychenko1.911111910123E. Pismenniy1.80991112102LSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko1.221161383R. Reznychenko4.005111151LSep 5 · 14:25R. Reznychenko4.0093140D. Neborak1.221111163LSep 5 · 04:25R. Reznychenko2.5010850R. Cherevko1.501211113
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