TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084038
Played Sep 6Finished
Yevhen Masko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611711––––
Roman Cherevko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Roman Cherevko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 56.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 150–92 Roman Cherevko Roman Cherevko has won 92 of their 242 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Masko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
150-92 in 242
Masko
Wrong
gap of 58 in 242, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1703 vs Cherevko 1656
Masko
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 40% vs Cherevko 20%
Masko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 50% vs Cherevko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko +1 · Cherevko -4
Cherevko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cherevko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 1.67 / Cherevko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Masko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084038
Masko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 142 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it99% 85 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it90% 114 of 127
Cherevko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 72 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back22% 24 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko8wins
AwayCherevko2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko100%7 of 7
AwayCherevko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko7Cherevko3n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S2Masko7Cherevko3n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S3Masko6Cherevko4n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S4Masko4Cherevko1n = 5Masko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoCherevkoM − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.831.9+4.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoCherevkoBasisWin rate · lifetime431 / 750 vs 378 / 74257.5%50.9%431 / 750 vs 378 / 742Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoMasko 1.67/Cherevko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cherevko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko—11119113R. Cherevko—791191
WSep 5 · 02:55Y. Masko—1111123R. Cherevko—68100
WAug 29 · 18:55Y. Masko—1111113R. Cherevko—6870
WAug 28 · 21:25Y. Masko—861111113R. Cherevko—11116762
LAug 23 · 20:25Y. Masko—121080R. Cherevko—1412113
WAug 22 · 17:55Y. Masko—1111113R. Cherevko—9880
LAug 22 · 02:25Y. Masko—4119101R. Cherevko—11711123
WAug 15 · 16:25Y. Masko—11113113R. Cherevko—881151
WAug 15 · 02:25Y. Masko—111111113R. Cherevko—813751
WAug 9 · 14:25Y. Masko—1112123R. Cherevko—910100
Y. Masko10
WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160LSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103WSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko1.221161383R. Reznychenko4.005111151WSep 5 · 13:55Y. Masko1.44121111103E. Pismenniy2.631013971LSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931
R. Cherevko10
LSep 6 · 18:55R. Cherevko1.676111071R. Reznychenko2.1011712113LSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652LSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532LSep 6 · 13:55V. Melnik1.801191173R. Cherevko1.91911921WSep 5 · 19:55R. Reznychenko2.10511371R. Cherevko1.6711711113WSep 5 · 18:55E. Pismenniy2.63711691R. Cherevko1.4411511113LSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 15:25D. Neborak2.63111115972R. Cherevko1.44981711103WSep 5 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.441211912102R. Cherevko2.631481110123WSep 5 · 04:25R. Reznychenko2.5010850R. Cherevko1.501211113
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