TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078833
Played Sep 5Finished
Yevhen Masko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101113119107––
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Evgeniy Pismenniy below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-7
Point 83 set 4, 10-7 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 72.8%
83 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 143–75 Evgeniy Pismenniy Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 75 of their 218 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
143-75 in 218
Masko
Correct
gap of 68 in 218, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1723 vs Pismenniy 1527
Masko
Correct
both rated, 196 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 40% vs Pismenniy 20%
Masko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 50% vs Pismenniy 30%
Masko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko -1 · Pismenniy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Masko) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pismenniy form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 1.44 / Pismenniy 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Masko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13078833
Masko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 139 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it90% 111 of 124
Pismenniy2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 59 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back7% 11 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko7wins
AwayPismenniy3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko85.7%6 of 7
AwayPismenniy66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko7Pismenniy3n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S2Masko9Pismenniy1n = 10Masko took 9 of 10
S3Masko6Pismenniy4n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S4Masko2Pismenniy5n = 7Pismenniy took 5 of 7
S5Masko2Pismenniy2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoPismenniyM − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.637.3+4.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoPismenniyBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 753 vs 213 / 71457.6%29.8%434 / 753 vs 213 / 714Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoMasko 1.44/Pismenniy 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 01:25Y. Masko—11118113E. Pismenniy—571171
LAug 29 · 19:55Y. Masko—115111692E. Pismenniy—911618113
WAug 29 · 02:55Y. Masko—1112113E. Pismenniy—81090
LAug 23 · 16:55Y. Masko—711137122E. Pismenniy—1171111143
WAug 22 · 14:55Y. Masko—111158123E. Pismenniy—591111102
WAug 21 · 23:25Y. Masko—81111113E. Pismenniy—114861
WAug 15 · 17:55Y. Masko—121196113E. Pismenniy—107111142
WAug 14 · 23:25Y. Masko—1111153E. Pismenniy—89130
LAug 9 · 17:55Y. Masko—31112101E. Pismenniy—11914123
WAug 8 · 14:25Y. Masko—111173E. Pismenniy—5530
Y. Masko10
LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160LSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103WSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko1.221161383R. Reznychenko4.005111151LSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931
E. Pismenniy10
WSep 6 · 19:55E. Pismenniy1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107950LSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652WSep 6 · 15:55V. Melnik1.5310860E. Pismenniy2.381211113WSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080LSep 5 · 18:55E. Pismenniy2.63711691R. Cherevko1.4411511113LSep 5 · 16:55R. Reznychenko1.911111910123E. Pismenniy1.80991112102LSep 5 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.111112113E. Pismenniy6.0081080LSep 5 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.111211113E. Pismenniy6.0010870
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.