TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084189
Played Sep 6Finished
Valeriy Melnik
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811611––––
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeValeriy Melnik to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingValeriy Melnik above · Evgeniy Pismenniy below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 58 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Valeriy Melnik at 64.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Valeriy Melnik 140–83 Evgeniy Pismenniy Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 83 of their 223 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:19What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Melnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
140-83 in 223
Melnik
Wrong
gap of 57 in 223, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1696 vs Pismenniy 1616
Melnik
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 80% vs Pismenniy 20%
Melnik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 60% vs Pismenniy 20%
Melnik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik +3 · Pismenniy +1
Melnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Melnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pismenniy form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 1.53 / Pismenniy 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Melnik)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084189
Melnik1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 140 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it99% 77 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it81% 109 of 134
Pismenniy2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog23% won 59 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back7% 11 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnik7wins
AwayPismenniy3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMelnik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnik100%3 of 3
AwayPismenniy42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik3Pismenniy7n = 10Pismenniy took 7 of 10
S2Melnik5Pismenniy5n = 10split evenly
S3Melnik8Pismenniy2n = 10Melnik took 8 of 10
S4Melnik5Pismenniy3n = 8Melnik took 5 of 8
S5Melnik3Pismenniy1n = 4Melnik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnikPismenniyM − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.340.1+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikPismenniyBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 706 vs 213 / 70955.8%30%394 / 706 vs 213 / 709Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnikMelnik 1.53/Pismenniy 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Melnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pismenniy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 23:55V. Melnik—71111113E. Pismenniy—115631
LAug 29 · 15:55V. Melnik—911100E. Pismenniy—1113123
WAug 29 · 24:55V. Melnik—991212143E. Pismenniy—11111010122
WAug 23 · 15:55V. Melnik—1111113E. Pismenniy—7780
WAug 22 · 13:55V. Melnik—11117113E. Pismenniy—651181
LAug 22 · 03:55V. Melnik—751161E. Pismenniy—11118113
WAug 15 · 15:55V. Melnik—912139123E. Pismenniy—11101111102
WAug 15 · 03:55V. Melnik—11911113E. Pismenniy—811671
LAug 9 · 19:25V. Melnik—91111692E. Pismenniy—118811113
WAug 8 · 15:55V. Melnik—1281112193E. Pismenniy—1411710172
V. Melnik10
WSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123LSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3691142R. Reznychenko3.0011831WSep 6 · 13:55V. Melnik1.801191173R. Cherevko1.91911921WSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931WSep 5 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin1.67111114732V. Melnik2.107131211113LSep 5 · 24:55V. Melnik1.831115111282R. Cherevko1.83917914113WSep 4 · 23:55E. Pismenniy2.75115631V. Melnik1.4071111113WSep 4 · 22:25V. Melnik1.361111123R. Reznychenko3.0064100LAug 29 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.571113113V. Melnik2.2581180
E. Pismenniy10
WSep 6 · 19:55E. Pismenniy1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107950LSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652WSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080LSep 5 · 18:55E. Pismenniy2.63711691R. Cherevko1.4411511113LSep 5 · 16:55R. Reznychenko1.911111910123E. Pismenniy1.80991112102LSep 5 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.111112113E. Pismenniy6.0081080LSep 5 · 13:55Y. Masko1.44121111103E. Pismenniy2.631013971LSep 4 · 23:55E. Pismenniy2.75115631V. Melnik1.4071111113
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