TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037842
Played Aug 29Finished
Alexander Tuzhylin
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311118––––
Valeriy Melnik
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingAlexander Tuzhylin above · Valeriy Melnik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 62 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 60.9%
62 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Tuzhylin 121–90 Valeriy Melnik Valeriy Melnik has won 90 of their 211 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Tuzhylin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
121-90 in 211
Tuzhylin
Correct
gap of 31 in 211, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuzhylin 1832 vs Melnik 1665
Tuzhylin
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuzhylin 60% vs Melnik 40%
Tuzhylin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuzhylin 70% vs Melnik 50%
Tuzhylin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuzhylin +2 · Melnik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Tuzhylin) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuzhylin 1.57 / Melnik 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Tuzhylin)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13037842
Tuzhylin1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite76% won 208 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it99% 130 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it90% 155 of 172
Melnik2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 33 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuzhylin4wins
AwayMelnik6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMelnik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuzhylin66.7%4 of 6
AwayMelnik100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuzhylin6Melnik4n = 10Tuzhylin took 6 of 10
S2Tuzhylin7Melnik3n = 10Tuzhylin took 7 of 10
S3Tuzhylin5Melnik5n = 10split evenly
S4Tuzhylin3Melnik4n = 7Melnik took 4 of 7
S5Tuzhylin0Melnik3n = 3Melnik took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTuzhylinMelnikT − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.235.7+2.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTuzhylinMelnikBasisWin rate · lifetime508 / 671 vs 400 / 72075.7%55.6%508 / 671 vs 400 / 720Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinTuzhylin 1.57/Melnik 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tuzhylin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 22:25A. Tuzhylin—811131182V. Melnik—113155113
WAug 22 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin—1111113V. Melnik—8660
LAug 15 · 13:55A. Tuzhylin—991181V. Melnik—11116113
LAug 15 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin—61111842V. Melnik—117611113
LAug 9 · 13:55A. Tuzhylin—51161192V. Melnik—119116113
WAug 8 · 13:55A. Tuzhylin—1111113V. Melnik—2770
LAug 7 · 23:55A. Tuzhylin—117781V. Melnik—91111113
WAug 2 · 13:55A. Tuzhylin—11115113V. Melnik—981161
WAug 1 · 13:55A. Tuzhylin—1115103V. Melnik—81340
LJul 31 · 23:55A. Tuzhylin—1191181V. Melnik—71113113
A. Tuzhylin10
WSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160WSep 5 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111116113R. Reznychenko6.00781161WSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191WSep 5 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.111112113E. Pismenniy6.0081080LSep 5 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.441211912102R. Cherevko2.631481110123WSep 5 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.111211113E. Pismenniy6.0010870LSep 5 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin1.67111114732V. Melnik2.107131211113WSep 5 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin1.111112113R. Reznychenko6.0081080WSep 4 · 22:55A. Tuzhylin1.3611813123R. Cherevko3.0061111101WSep 4 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.3691211123Y. Masko3.0011107101
V. Melnik10
WSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123LSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3691142R. Reznychenko3.0011831LSep 6 · 15:55V. Melnik1.5310860E. Pismenniy2.381211113WSep 6 · 13:55V. Melnik1.801191173R. Cherevko1.91911921WSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931WSep 5 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin1.67111114732V. Melnik2.107131211113LSep 5 · 24:55V. Melnik1.831115111282R. Cherevko1.83917914113WSep 4 · 23:55E. Pismenniy2.75115631V. Melnik1.4071111113WSep 4 · 22:25V. Melnik1.361111123R. Reznychenko3.0064100
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