TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079482
Played Sep 5Finished
Alexander Tuzhylin
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151311116––––
Yevhen Masko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexander Tuzhylin above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 73.2%
57 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Tuzhylin 139–71 Yevhen Masko Yevhen Masko has won 71 of their 210 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:48What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tuzhylin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
139-71 in 210
Tuzhylin
Correct
gap of 68 in 210, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuzhylin 1868 vs Masko 1723
Tuzhylin
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuzhylin 80% vs Masko 60%
Tuzhylin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuzhylin 80% vs Masko 50%
Tuzhylin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuzhylin +3 · Masko -1
Tuzhylin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Tuzhylin) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuzhylin 1.44 / Masko 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Tuzhylin)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079482
Tuzhylin1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite76% won 204 of 270
Up 2–0, closes it99% 128 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it89% 152 of 170
Masko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 43 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back10% 6 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuzhylin8wins
AwayMasko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTuzhylin leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuzhylin100%4 of 4
AwayMasko33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuzhylin4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S2Tuzhylin8Masko2n = 10Tuzhylin took 8 of 10
S3Tuzhylin8Masko2n = 10Tuzhylin took 8 of 10
S4Tuzhylin5Masko0n = 5Tuzhylin took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTuzhylinMaskoT − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.831.7+7.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTuzhylinMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime507 / 667 vs 434 / 75376%57.6%507 / 667 vs 434 / 753Avg sets wonper match2.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinTuzhylin 1.44/Masko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tuzhylin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin—91211123Y. Masko—11107101
LAug 29 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin—8880Y. Masko—1111113
WAug 28 · 23:25A. Tuzhylin—91111113Y. Masko—119741
WAug 22 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin—1211511113Y. Masko—14611962
WAug 15 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin—1112113Y. Masko—61070
WAug 15 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin—91111113Y. Masko—118861
WAug 9 · 16:55A. Tuzhylin—1111113Y. Masko—9860
WAug 8 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin—1111113Y. Masko—7650
LAug 8 · 01:25A. Tuzhylin—129111282Y. Masko—1411510113
WAug 2 · 16:55A. Tuzhylin—1211113Y. Masko—10470
A. Tuzhylin10
WSep 5 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111116113R. Reznychenko6.00781161WSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191WSep 5 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.111112113E. Pismenniy6.0081080LSep 5 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.441211912102R. Cherevko2.631481110123WSep 5 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.111211113E. Pismenniy6.0010870LSep 5 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin1.67111114732V. Melnik2.107131211113WSep 5 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin1.111112113R. Reznychenko6.0081080WSep 4 · 22:55A. Tuzhylin1.3611813123R. Cherevko3.0061111101WSep 4 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.3691211123Y. Masko3.0011107101WAug 29 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.571113113V. Melnik2.2581180
Y. Masko10
LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103WSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko1.221161383R. Reznychenko4.005111151WSep 5 · 13:55Y. Masko1.44121111103E. Pismenniy2.631013971LSep 4 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.3691211123Y. Masko3.0011107101
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