TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079243
Played Sep 5Finished
Yevhen Masko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119911119––
Roman Cherevko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Roman Cherevko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 54.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 147–92 Roman Cherevko Roman Cherevko has won 92 of their 239 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
147-92 in 239
Masko
Correct
gap of 55 in 239, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1737 vs Cherevko 1713
Masko
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 80% vs Cherevko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 50% vs Cherevko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko +2 · Cherevko +3
Cherevko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cherevko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 1.73 / Cherevko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Masko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079243
Masko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 139 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it90% 111 of 124
Cherevko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 71 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back23% 24 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko7wins
AwayCherevko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko100%5 of 5
AwayCherevko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko5Cherevko5n = 10split evenly
S2Masko7Cherevko3n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S3Masko6Cherevko4n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S4Masko4Cherevko2n = 6Masko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoCherevkoM − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.035.7+3.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoCherevkoBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 750 vs 380 / 74457.7%51.1%433 / 750 vs 380 / 744Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoMasko 1.73/Cherevko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 21:25Y. Masko—861111113R. Cherevko—11116762
LAug 23 · 20:25Y. Masko—121080R. Cherevko—1412113
WAug 22 · 17:55Y. Masko—1111113R. Cherevko—9880
LAug 22 · 02:25Y. Masko—4119101R. Cherevko—11711123
WAug 15 · 16:25Y. Masko—11113113R. Cherevko—881151
WAug 15 · 02:25Y. Masko—111111113R. Cherevko—813751
WAug 9 · 14:25Y. Masko—1112123R. Cherevko—910100
LAug 8 · 15:25Y. Masko—911791R. Cherevko—11811113
WAug 7 · 21:25Y. Masko—91112203R. Cherevko—11710181
WAug 2 · 14:25Y. Masko—1111213R. Cherevko—85190
Y. Masko10
LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160LSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103WSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko1.221161383R. Reznychenko4.005111151WSep 5 · 13:55Y. Masko1.44121111103E. Pismenniy2.631013971LSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931
R. Cherevko10
WSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:55R. Cherevko1.676111071R. Reznychenko2.1011712113LSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652LSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532LSep 6 · 13:55V. Melnik1.801191173R. Cherevko1.91911921WSep 5 · 19:55R. Reznychenko2.10511371R. Cherevko1.6711711113WSep 5 · 18:55E. Pismenniy2.63711691R. Cherevko1.4411511113WSep 5 · 15:25D. Neborak2.63111115972R. Cherevko1.44981711103WSep 5 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.441211912102R. Cherevko2.631481110123WSep 5 · 04:25R. Reznychenko2.5010850R. Cherevko1.501211113
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