TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079173
Played Sep 5Finished
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711115611911––
Roman Cherevko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeRoman Cherevko to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvgeniy Pismenniy above · Roman Cherevko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Roman Cherevko at 68.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Evgeniy Pismenniy 67–160 Roman Cherevko Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 67 of their 227 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:19What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Cherevko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-160 in 227
Cherevko
Correct
gap of 93 in 227, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pismenniy 1544 vs Cherevko 1712
Cherevko
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pismenniy 20% vs Cherevko 60%
Cherevko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pismenniy 20% vs Cherevko 50%
Cherevko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pismenniy -4 · Cherevko -1
Pismenniy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Cherevko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pismenniy form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPismenniy 2.63 / Cherevko 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Cherevko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079173
Pismenniy2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog23% won 59 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back7% 11 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 96
Cherevko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 94 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it87% 64 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePismenniy1wins
AwayCherevko9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCherevko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePismenniy20%1 of 5
AwayCherevko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pismenniy5Cherevko5n = 10split evenly
S2Pismenniy4Cherevko6n = 10Cherevko took 6 of 10
S3Pismenniy2Cherevko8n = 10Cherevko took 8 of 10
S4Pismenniy1Cherevko5n = 6Cherevko took 5 of 6
S5Pismenniy0Cherevko3n = 3Cherevko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPismenniyCherevkoP − CBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.539.9−6.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPismenniyCherevkoBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 712 vs 380 / 74529.9%51%213 / 712 vs 380 / 745Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CherevkoPismenniy 2.63/Cherevko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Cherevko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cherevko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 21:55E. Pismenniy—12113792R. Cherevko—1091111113
LAug 29 · 16:55E. Pismenniy—111289162R. Cherevko—9101111183
LAug 28 · 22:55E. Pismenniy—1091171R. Cherevko—12114113
LAug 23 · 14:25E. Pismenniy—51020R. Cherevko—1112113
LAug 22 · 16:55E. Pismenniy—111061272R. Cherevko—6121110113
WAug 22 · 01:25E. Pismenniy—1111113R. Cherevko—6590
LAug 15 · 14:25E. Pismenniy—7790R. Cherevko—1111113
LAug 15 · 01:25E. Pismenniy—211951R. Cherevko—11511113
LAug 9 · 16:25E. Pismenniy—119561R. Cherevko—91111113
LAug 8 · 19:55E. Pismenniy—7790R. Cherevko—1111113
E. Pismenniy10
WSep 6 · 19:55E. Pismenniy1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107950LSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652WSep 6 · 15:55V. Melnik1.5310860E. Pismenniy2.381211113WSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080LSep 5 · 16:55R. Reznychenko1.911111910123E. Pismenniy1.80991112102LSep 5 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.111112113E. Pismenniy6.0081080LSep 5 · 13:55Y. Masko1.44121111103E. Pismenniy2.631013971LSep 5 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.111211113E. Pismenniy6.0010870
R. Cherevko10
WSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:55R. Cherevko1.676111071R. Reznychenko2.1011712113LSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652LSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532LSep 6 · 13:55V. Melnik1.801191173R. Cherevko1.91911921WSep 5 · 19:55R. Reznychenko2.10511371R. Cherevko1.6711711113LSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 15:25D. Neborak2.63111115972R. Cherevko1.44981711103WSep 5 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.441211912102R. Cherevko2.631481110123WSep 5 · 04:25R. Reznychenko2.5010850R. Cherevko1.501211113
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