TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078893
Played Sep 5Finished
Dmytro Neborak
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191181517911710
Roman Cherevko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeRoman Cherevko to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Neborak above · Roman Cherevko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-10
Point 108 set 5, 7-10 — our read held Roman Cherevko at 64.5%
108 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Neborak 0–2 Roman Cherevko Dmytro Neborak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Cherevko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Neborak 1673 vs Cherevko 1726
Cherevko
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neborak 40% vs Cherevko 60%
Cherevko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neborak 40% vs Cherevko 60%
Cherevko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Neborak +1 · Cherevko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Cherevko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeborak 2.63 / Cherevko 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Cherevko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13078893
Neborak2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 117 of 332
Down 0–1, comes back17% 34 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back10% 12 of 123
Cherevko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 94 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it87% 64 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNeborak0wins
AwayCherevko2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderCherevko leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricNeborakCherevkoN − CBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match45.052.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeborakCherevkoBasisWin rate · lifetime299 / 834 vs 382 / 74735.9%51.1%299 / 834 vs 382 / 747Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CherevkoNeborak 2.63/Cherevko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Cherevko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cherevko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 23 · 16:25D. Neborak—11115872R. Cherevko—981111113
LAug 22 · 14:25D. Neborak—611121362R. Cherevko—1171015113
D. Neborak10
LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191WSep 5 · 14:25R. Reznychenko4.0093140D. Neborak1.221111163LAug 30 · 09:30S. Hohenko1.2511117113D. Neborak3.75501161
R. Cherevko10
WSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:55R. Cherevko1.676111071R. Reznychenko2.1011712113LSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652LSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532LSep 6 · 13:55V. Melnik1.801191173R. Cherevko1.91911921WSep 5 · 19:55R. Reznychenko2.10511371R. Cherevko1.6711711113WSep 5 · 18:55E. Pismenniy2.63711691R. Cherevko1.4411511113LSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.441211912102R. Cherevko2.631481110123WSep 5 · 04:25R. Reznychenko2.5010850R. Cherevko1.501211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.