TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043867
Played Aug 30Finished
Serhii Hohenko
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115110711116––
Dmytro Neborak
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hohenko to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Hohenko above · Dmytro Neborak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-0
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 62 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Serhii Hohenko at 62.4%
62 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hohenko 8–3 Dmytro Neborak Dmytro Neborak has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Hohenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Hohenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hohenko 1758 vs Neborak 1699
Hohenko
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hohenko 80% vs Neborak 20%
Hohenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hohenko 50% vs Neborak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hohenko +2 · Neborak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Hohenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHohenko 1.25 / Neborak 3.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Hohenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13043867
Hohenko1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 19 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Neborak3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 117 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back17% 35 of 204
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHohenko7wins
AwayNeborak3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHohenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHohenko100%5 of 5
AwayNeborak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hohenko5Neborak5n = 10split evenly
S2Hohenko4Neborak6n = 10Neborak took 6 of 10
S3Hohenko7Neborak3n = 10Hohenko took 7 of 10
S4Hohenko6Neborak4n = 10Hohenko took 6 of 10
S5Hohenko3Neborak1n = 4Hohenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHohenkoNeborakH − NBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.738.0+5.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHohenkoNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 51 vs 299 / 84952.9%35.2%27 / 51 vs 299 / 849Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HohenkoHohenko 1.25/Neborak 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Hohenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hohenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 04:30S. Hohenko—911811113D. Neborak—11611672
LAug 29 · 17:30S. Hohenko—7611111D. Neborak—11115133
WAug 29 · 12:30S. Hohenko—1191310113D. Neborak—511111272
WAug 16 · 07:30S. Hohenko—11811113D. Neborak—911181
WAug 16 · 06:30S. Hohenko—13913113D. Neborak—11111191
WAug 15 · 17:30S. Hohenko—11711113D. Neborak—211331
WAug 15 · 12:30S. Hohenko—9111110113D. Neborak—11761252
LAug 2 · 09:30S. Hohenko—8117111D. Neborak—11811133
LAug 2 · 04:30S. Hohenko—21261152D. Neborak—1110114113
WAug 1 · 16:02S. Hohenko—11141293D. Neborak—4161021
S. Hohenko10
WAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100WAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182LAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113WAug 30 · 04:30D. Neborak2.2511611672S. Hohenko1.57911811113LAug 29 · 17:30D. Neborak2.5011115133S. Hohenko1.507611111LAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113LAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331WAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko1.571311123O. Shkurupii2.25113100
D. Neborak10
LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191LAug 30 · 04:30D. Neborak2.2511611672S. Hohenko1.57911811113WAug 29 · 17:30D. Neborak2.5011115133S. Hohenko1.507611111
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