TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043732
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711811––––
Serhii Hohenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hohenko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Shkurupii above · Serhii Hohenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Hohenko at 60.8%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Shkurupii 5–7 Serhii Hohenko Oleksandr Shkurupii has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hohenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Hohenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shkurupii 1670 vs Hohenko 1758
Hohenko
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shkurupii 20% vs Hohenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shkurupii 40% vs Hohenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shkurupii -2 · Hohenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Hohenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hohenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShkurupii 2.38 / Hohenko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Hohenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13043732
Shkurupii2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 33 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 53
Hohenko1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 23 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShkurupii4wins
AwayHohenko6wins
Hohenko leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShkurupii100%4 of 4
AwayHohenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shkurupii4Hohenko6n = 10Hohenko took 6 of 10
S2Shkurupii4Hohenko6n = 10Hohenko took 6 of 10
S3Shkurupii3Hohenko7n = 10Hohenko took 7 of 10
S4Shkurupii3Hohenko2n = 5Shkurupii took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricShkurupiiHohenkoS − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.136.0−2.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShkurupiiHohenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 777 vs 27 / 5148.3%52.9%375 / 777 vs 27 / 51Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HohenkoShkurupii 2.38/Hohenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Hohenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hohenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 08:30O. Shkurupii—107100S. Hohenko—1211123
LAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii—7780S. Hohenko—1111113
WAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii—111110123S. Hohenko—3812101
LAug 29 · 13:30O. Shkurupii—113100S. Hohenko—1311123
WAug 16 · 08:30O. Shkurupii—11513113S. Hohenko—7111181
LAug 16 · 06:00O. Shkurupii—13131081S. Hohenko—151112113
LAug 15 · 16:00O. Shkurupii—512851S. Hohenko—111011113
WAug 15 · 13:30O. Shkurupii—111211113S. Hohenko—614881
LAug 2 · 07:30O. Shkurupii—75100S. Hohenko—1111123
WAug 2 · 06:30O. Shkurupii—1111113S. Hohenko—8970
O. Shkurupii10
LAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380LAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100LAug 30 · 07:30O. Shkurupii1.67113110D. Neborak2.101115133WAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak2.25101111131O. Shkurupii1.5712138153LAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113LAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.5758111122D. Neborak2.25111199103LAug 29 · 14:30D. Neborak2.254111383O. Shkurupii1.571161141LAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko1.571311123O. Shkurupii2.25113100
S. Hohenko10
WAug 30 · 09:30S. Hohenko1.2511117113D. Neborak3.75501161WAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100WAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182LAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 04:30D. Neborak2.2511611672S. Hohenko1.57911811113LAug 29 · 17:30D. Neborak2.5011115133S. Hohenko1.507611111LAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113LAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331WAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko1.571311123O. Shkurupii2.25113100
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