TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043859
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511611––––
Oleksandr Zhurba
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:45 and never touched — 74.9% is still 74.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhurba to win
74.9%
74.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Shkurupii above · Oleksandr Zhurba below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 74.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Shkurupii 72–149 Oleksandr Zhurba Oleksandr Shkurupii has won 72 of their 221 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:45What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Zhurba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-149 in 221
Zhurba
Correct
gap of 77 in 221, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shkurupii 1709 vs Zhurba 1942
Zhurba
Correct
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shkurupii 20% vs Zhurba 100%
Zhurba
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shkurupii 40% vs Zhurba 80%
Zhurba
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shkurupii -1 · Zhurba +5
Zhurba
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Zhurba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhurba form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShkurupii 3.25 / Zhurba 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Zhurba)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13043859
Shkurupii3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 34 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 50
Zhurba1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 179 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it98% 109 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it88% 142 of 162
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShkurupii3wins
AwayZhurba7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZhurba leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShkurupii75%3 of 4
AwayZhurba100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shkurupii4Zhurba6n = 10Zhurba took 6 of 10
S2Shkurupii2Zhurba8n = 10Zhurba took 8 of 10
S3Shkurupii3Zhurba7n = 10Zhurba took 7 of 10
S4Shkurupii2Zhurba2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricShkurupiiZhurbaS − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.237.6−6.4per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShkurupiiZhurbaBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 772 vs 485 / 74548.5%65.1%374 / 772 vs 485 / 745Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhurbaShkurupii 3.25/Zhurba 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Zhurba · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zhurba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii—6560O. Zhurba—1111113
LAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii—7990O. Zhurba—1111113
LAug 29 · 12:00O. Shkurupii—7670O. Zhurba—1111113
WAug 16 · 08:00O. Shkurupii—1111123O. Zhurba—97100
LAug 16 · 07:00O. Shkurupii—117471O. Zhurba—81111113
WAug 15 · 17:00O. Shkurupii—11912113O. Zhurba—5111061
LAug 15 · 12:00O. Shkurupii—51040O. Zhurba—1112113
WAug 2 · 10:00O. Shkurupii—115713113O. Zhurba—911111192
LAug 2 · 05:00O. Shkurupii—69120O. Zhurba—1111143
LAug 1 · 13:00O. Shkurupii—1411115102O. Zhurba—169911123
O. Shkurupii10
LAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380LAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100LAug 30 · 07:30O. Shkurupii1.67113110D. Neborak2.101115133WAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak2.25101111131O. Shkurupii1.5712138153LAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113LAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.5758111122D. Neborak2.25111199103LAug 29 · 14:30D. Neborak2.254111383O. Shkurupii1.571161141LAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko1.571311123O. Shkurupii2.25113100
O. Zhurba10
WAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380WAug 30 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.1791111143D. Neborak4.501177121LAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182WAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak4.507650O. Zhurba1.171111113WAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:30D. Neborak4.506111091O. Zhurba1.1711512113WAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113WAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331WAug 29 · 13:00O. Zhurba1.1711911113D. Neborak4.50711561
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