TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037526
Played Aug 29Finished
Serhii Hohenko
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111113116117211
Oleksandr Zhurba
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhurba to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Hohenko above · Oleksandr Zhurba below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 90 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 73.2%
90 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hohenko 0–8 Oleksandr Zhurba Serhii Hohenko has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Zhurba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-8 in 8
Zhurba
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hohenko 1797 vs Zhurba 1885
Zhurba
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hohenko 40% vs Zhurba 80%
Zhurba
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hohenko 60% vs Zhurba 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hohenko -1 · Zhurba +4
Zhurba
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Zhurba) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hohenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHohenko 3.40 / Zhurba 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Zhurba)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13037526
Hohenko3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog27% won 3 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 5
Zhurba1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 177 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it98% 109 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it87% 139 of 159
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHohenko0wins
AwayZhurba8wins
3 of 8 to a deciderZhurba leads 8–0, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHohenko0%0 of 3
AwayZhurba100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hohenko3Zhurba5n = 8Zhurba took 5 of 8
S2Hohenko4Zhurba4n = 8split evenly
S3Hohenko1Zhurba7n = 8Zhurba took 7 of 8
S4Hohenko3Zhurba5n = 8Zhurba took 5 of 8
S5Hohenko0Zhurba3n = 3Zhurba took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away563%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricHohenkoZhurbaH − ZBasisWins08−8in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match37.945.5−7.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHohenkoZhurbaBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 42 vs 481 / 74152.4%64.9%22 / 42 vs 481 / 741Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhurbaHohenko 3.40/Zhurba 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Zhurba · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zhurba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 29 · 14:00S. Hohenko—911331O. Zhurba—11411103
LAug 16 · 10:00S. Hohenko—71181482O. Zhurba—1161112113
LAug 16 · 05:00S. Hohenko—512591O. Zhurba—111011113
LAug 15 · 14:00S. Hohenko—117461O. Zhurba—81111113
LAug 2 · 09:00S. Hohenko—81171192O. Zhurba—119116113
LAug 2 · 05:30S. Hohenko—1311491O. Zhurba—111311113
LAug 1 · 14:59S. Hohenko—1281391O. Zhurba—101115113
LAug 1 · 14:01S. Hohenko—106121162O. Zhurba—1211108113
S. Hohenko10
WAug 30 · 09:30S. Hohenko1.2511117113D. Neborak3.75501161WAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100WAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182LAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113WAug 30 · 04:30D. Neborak2.2511611672S. Hohenko1.57911811113LAug 29 · 17:30D. Neborak2.5011115133S. Hohenko1.507611111LAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331WAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko1.571311123O. Shkurupii2.25113100
O. Zhurba10
WAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380WAug 30 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.1791111143D. Neborak4.501177121LAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182WAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak4.507650O. Zhurba1.171111113WAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:30D. Neborak4.506111091O. Zhurba1.1711512113WAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331WAug 29 · 13:00O. Zhurba1.1711911113D. Neborak4.50711561
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