TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043753
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Zhurba
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116118––––
Serhii Hohenko
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhurba to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Zhurba above · Serhii Hohenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 75.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhurba 10–1 Serhii Hohenko Serhii Hohenko has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:19What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Zhurba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-1 in 11
Zhurba
Correct
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhurba 1954 vs Hohenko 1758
Zhurba
Correct
both rated, 196 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhurba 100% vs Hohenko 40%
Zhurba
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhurba 90% vs Hohenko 40%
Zhurba
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhurba +5 · Hohenko +2
Zhurba
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Zhurba) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hohenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhurba 1.28 / Hohenko 3.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Zhurba)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13043753
Zhurba1.28
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite72% won 180 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it98% 110 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it88% 143 of 163
Hohenko3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 4 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhurba9wins
AwayHohenko1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZhurba leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhurba85.7%6 of 7
AwayHohenko0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhurba7Hohenko3n = 10Zhurba took 7 of 10
S2Zhurba5Hohenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Zhurba8Hohenko2n = 10Zhurba took 8 of 10
S4Zhurba6Hohenko3n = 9Zhurba took 6 of 9
S5Zhurba3Hohenko1n = 4Zhurba took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhurbaHohenkoZ − HBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.536.9+6.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhurbaHohenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime489 / 750 vs 27 / 5165.2%52.9%489 / 750 vs 27 / 51Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhurbaZhurba 1.28/Hohenko 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Zhurba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zhurba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 08:00O. Zhurba—11571182S. Hohenko—811118113
WAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba—1111113S. Hohenko—6680
WAug 29 · 15:00O. Zhurba—111367113S. Hohenko—711111122
WAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba—11411103S. Hohenko—911331
WAug 16 · 10:00O. Zhurba—1161112113S. Hohenko—71181482
WAug 16 · 05:00O. Zhurba—111011113S. Hohenko—512591
WAug 15 · 14:00O. Zhurba—81111113S. Hohenko—117461
WAug 2 · 09:00O. Zhurba—119116113S. Hohenko—81171192
WAug 2 · 05:30O. Zhurba—111311113S. Hohenko—1311491
WAug 1 · 14:59O. Zhurba—101115113S. Hohenko—1281391
O. Zhurba10
WAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380WAug 30 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.1791111143D. Neborak4.501177121LAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182WAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak4.507650O. Zhurba1.171111113WAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:30D. Neborak4.506111091O. Zhurba1.1711512113WAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113WAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331WAug 29 · 13:00O. Zhurba1.1711911113D. Neborak4.50711561
S. Hohenko10
WAug 30 · 09:30S. Hohenko1.2511117113D. Neborak3.75501161WAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100WAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182WAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113WAug 30 · 04:30D. Neborak2.2511611672S. Hohenko1.57911811113LAug 29 · 17:30D. Neborak2.5011115133S. Hohenko1.507611111LAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113LAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331WAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko1.571311123O. Shkurupii2.25113100
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