TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043901
Played Aug 30Finished
Serhii Hohenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101171210––––
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hohenko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Hohenko above · Oleksandr Shkurupii below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 62 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Serhii Hohenko at 60.8%
62 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hohenko 7–5 Oleksandr Shkurupii Oleksandr Shkurupii has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hohenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Hohenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hohenko 1747 vs Shkurupii 1675
Hohenko
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hohenko 60% vs Shkurupii 20%
Hohenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hohenko 50% vs Shkurupii 20%
Hohenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hohenko +1 · Shkurupii -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hohenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shkurupii form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHohenko 1.50 / Shkurupii 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Hohenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13043901
Hohenko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 19 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Shkurupii2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 34 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHohenko6wins
AwayShkurupii4wins
Hohenko leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHohenko100%6 of 6
AwayShkurupii100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hohenko6Shkurupii4n = 10Hohenko took 6 of 10
S2Hohenko6Shkurupii4n = 10Hohenko took 6 of 10
S3Hohenko7Shkurupii3n = 10Hohenko took 7 of 10
S4Hohenko2Shkurupii3n = 5Shkurupii took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHohenkoShkurupiiH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.033.1+2.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHohenkoShkurupiiBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 50 vs 375 / 77652%48.3%26 / 50 vs 375 / 776Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HohenkoHohenko 1.50/Shkurupii 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Hohenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hohenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko—1211123O. Shkurupii—107100
WAug 30 · 06:00S. Hohenko—1111113O. Shkurupii—7780
LAug 29 · 16:00S. Hohenko—3812101O. Shkurupii—111110123
WAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko—1311123O. Shkurupii—113100
LAug 16 · 08:30S. Hohenko—7111181O. Shkurupii—11513113
WAug 16 · 06:00S. Hohenko—151112113O. Shkurupii—13131081
WAug 15 · 16:00S. Hohenko—111011113O. Shkurupii—512851
LAug 15 · 13:30S. Hohenko—614881O. Shkurupii—111211113
WAug 2 · 07:30S. Hohenko—1111123O. Shkurupii—75100
LAug 2 · 06:30S. Hohenko—8970O. Shkurupii—1111113
S. Hohenko10
WAug 30 · 09:30S. Hohenko1.2511117113D. Neborak3.75501161WAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182LAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113WAug 30 · 04:30D. Neborak2.2511611672S. Hohenko1.57911811113LAug 29 · 17:30D. Neborak2.5011115133S. Hohenko1.507611111LAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113LAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331WAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko1.571311123O. Shkurupii2.25113100
O. Shkurupii10
LAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380LAug 30 · 07:30O. Shkurupii1.67113110D. Neborak2.101115133WAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak2.25101111131O. Shkurupii1.5712138153LAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113LAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113LAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.5758111122D. Neborak2.25111199103LAug 29 · 14:30D. Neborak2.254111383O. Shkurupii1.571161141LAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko1.571311123O. Shkurupii2.25113100
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