TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037563
Played Aug 29Finished
Oleksandr Zhurba
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119411113103––
Serhii Hohenko
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:00 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhurba to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Zhurba above · Serhii Hohenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 10-3
Point 62 set 4, 10-3 — our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 73.2%
62 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhurba 7–0 Serhii Hohenko Serhii Hohenko has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Zhurba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-0 in 7
Zhurba
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhurba 1889 vs Hohenko 1793
Zhurba
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhurba 60% vs Hohenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhurba 70% vs Hohenko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhurba +3 · Hohenko +2
Zhurba
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Zhurba) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hohenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhurba 1.30 / Hohenko 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Zhurba)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13037563
Zhurba1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 177 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it98% 109 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it87% 139 of 159
Hohenko3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog27% won 3 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZhurba7wins
AwayHohenko0wins
3 of 7 to a deciderZhurba leads 7–0, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhurba100%4 of 4
AwayHohenko0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhurba4Hohenko3n = 7Zhurba took 4 of 7
S2Zhurba4Hohenko3n = 7Zhurba took 4 of 7
S3Zhurba6Hohenko1n = 7Zhurba took 6 of 7
S4Zhurba4Hohenko3n = 7Zhurba took 4 of 7
S5Zhurba3Hohenko0n = 3Zhurba took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricZhurbaHohenkoZ − HBasisWins70+7in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match46.939.6+7.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhurbaHohenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime480 / 740 vs 22 / 4164.9%53.7%480 / 740 vs 22 / 41Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhurbaZhurba 1.30/Hohenko 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Zhurba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zhurba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 16 · 10:00O. Zhurba—1161112113S. Hohenko—71181482
WAug 16 · 05:00O. Zhurba—111011113S. Hohenko—512591
WAug 15 · 14:00O. Zhurba—81111113S. Hohenko—117461
WAug 2 · 09:00O. Zhurba—119116113S. Hohenko—81171192
WAug 2 · 05:30O. Zhurba—111311113S. Hohenko—1311491
WAug 1 · 14:59O. Zhurba—101115113S. Hohenko—1281391
WAug 1 · 14:01O. Zhurba—1211108113S. Hohenko—106121162
O. Zhurba10
WAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380WAug 30 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.1791111143D. Neborak4.501177121LAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182WAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak4.507650O. Zhurba1.171111113WAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:30D. Neborak4.506111091O. Zhurba1.1711512113WAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113WAug 29 · 13:00O. Zhurba1.1711911113D. Neborak4.50711561
S. Hohenko10
WAug 30 · 09:30S. Hohenko1.2511117113D. Neborak3.75501161WAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100WAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182LAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113WAug 30 · 04:30D. Neborak2.2511611672S. Hohenko1.57911811113LAug 29 · 17:30D. Neborak2.5011115133S. Hohenko1.507611111LAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113WAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko1.571311123O. Shkurupii2.25113100
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