TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043805
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Zhurba
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115113118––––
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 74.9% is still 74.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhurba to win
74.9%
74.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Zhurba above · Oleksandr Shkurupii below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 49 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 74.9%
49 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhurba 150–72 Oleksandr Shkurupii Oleksandr Shkurupii has won 72 of their 222 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Zhurba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
150-72 in 222
Zhurba
Correct
gap of 78 in 222, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhurba 1954 vs Shkurupii 1670
Zhurba
Correct
both rated, 284 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhurba 80% vs Shkurupii 20%
Zhurba
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhurba 90% vs Shkurupii 20%
Zhurba
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhurba +1 · Shkurupii -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Zhurba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shkurupii form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhurba 1.33 / Shkurupii 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Zhurba)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13043805
Zhurba1.33
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite72% won 179 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it98% 109 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it88% 142 of 162
Shkurupii3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 34 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhurba7wins
AwayShkurupii3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZhurba leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhurba100%6 of 6
AwayShkurupii75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhurba6Shkurupii4n = 10Zhurba took 6 of 10
S2Zhurba9Shkurupii1n = 10Zhurba took 9 of 10
S3Zhurba8Shkurupii2n = 10Zhurba took 8 of 10
S4Zhurba1Shkurupii2n = 3Shkurupii took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhurbaShkurupiiZ − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.227.7+7.5per matchSweeps61+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhurbaShkurupiiBasisWin rate · lifetime489 / 750 vs 375 / 77765.2%48.3%489 / 750 vs 375 / 777Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhurbaZhurba 1.33/Shkurupii 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Zhurba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zhurba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba—1111113O. Shkurupii—5380
WAug 30 · 05:00O. Zhurba—1111113O. Shkurupii—6560
WAug 29 · 17:00O. Zhurba—1111113O. Shkurupii—7990
WAug 29 · 12:00O. Zhurba—1111113O. Shkurupii—7670
LAug 16 · 08:00O. Zhurba—97100O. Shkurupii—1111123
WAug 16 · 07:00O. Zhurba—81111113O. Shkurupii—117471
LAug 15 · 17:00O. Zhurba—5111061O. Shkurupii—11912113
WAug 15 · 12:00O. Zhurba—1112113O. Shkurupii—51040
LAug 2 · 10:00O. Zhurba—911111192O. Shkurupii—115713113
WAug 2 · 05:00O. Zhurba—1111143O. Shkurupii—69120
O. Zhurba10
WAug 30 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.1791111143D. Neborak4.501177121LAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182WAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak4.507650O. Zhurba1.171111113WAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:30D. Neborak4.506111091O. Zhurba1.1711512113WAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113WAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331WAug 29 · 13:00O. Zhurba1.1711911113D. Neborak4.50711561
O. Shkurupii10
LAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100LAug 30 · 07:30O. Shkurupii1.67113110D. Neborak2.101115133WAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak2.25101111131O. Shkurupii1.5712138153LAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113LAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113LAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.5758111122D. Neborak2.25111199103LAug 29 · 14:30D. Neborak2.254111383O. Shkurupii1.571161141LAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko1.571311123O. Shkurupii2.25113100
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