TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043728
Played Aug 30Finished
Serhii Hohenko
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811115117811118
Oleksandr Zhurba
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhurba to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Hohenko above · Oleksandr Zhurba below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 75.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hohenko 0–10 Oleksandr Zhurba Serhii Hohenko has won 0 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:18What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Zhurba
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-10 in 10
Zhurba
Wrong
gap of 10 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hohenko 1717 vs Zhurba 1962
Zhurba
Wrong
both rated, 246 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hohenko 40% vs Zhurba 100%
Zhurba
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hohenko 40% vs Zhurba 100%
Zhurba
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hohenko -1 · Zhurba +5
Zhurba
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Zhurba) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhurba form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHohenko 3.50 / Zhurba 1.28
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Zhurba)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13043728
Hohenko3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 3 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 7
Zhurba1.28
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite72% won 179 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it98% 109 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it88% 142 of 162
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHohenko0wins
AwayZhurba10wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZhurba leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHohenko0%0 of 3
AwayZhurba100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hohenko3Zhurba7n = 10Zhurba took 7 of 10
S2Hohenko4Zhurba6n = 10Zhurba took 6 of 10
S3Hohenko2Zhurba8n = 10Zhurba took 8 of 10
S4Hohenko4Zhurba5n = 9Zhurba took 5 of 9
S5Hohenko0Zhurba4n = 4Zhurba took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHohenkoZhurbaH − ZBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.544.5−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHohenkoZhurbaBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 48 vs 487 / 74750%65.2%24 / 48 vs 487 / 747Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhurbaHohenko 3.50/Zhurba 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Zhurba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hohenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 07:00S. Hohenko—6680O. Zhurba—1111113
LAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko—711111122O. Zhurba—111367113
LAug 29 · 14:00S. Hohenko—911331O. Zhurba—11411103
LAug 16 · 10:00S. Hohenko—71181482O. Zhurba—1161112113
LAug 16 · 05:00S. Hohenko—512591O. Zhurba—111011113
LAug 15 · 14:00S. Hohenko—117461O. Zhurba—81111113
LAug 2 · 09:00S. Hohenko—81171192O. Zhurba—119116113
LAug 2 · 05:30S. Hohenko—1311491O. Zhurba—111311113
LAug 1 · 14:59S. Hohenko—1281391O. Zhurba—101115113
LAug 1 · 14:01S. Hohenko—106121162O. Zhurba—1211108113
S. Hohenko10
WAug 30 · 09:30S. Hohenko1.2511117113D. Neborak3.75501161WAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100LAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113WAug 30 · 04:30D. Neborak2.2511611672S. Hohenko1.57911811113LAug 29 · 17:30D. Neborak2.5011115133S. Hohenko1.507611111LAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113LAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331WAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko1.571311123O. Shkurupii2.25113100
O. Zhurba10
WAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380WAug 30 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.1791111143D. Neborak4.501177121WAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak4.507650O. Zhurba1.171111113WAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:30D. Neborak4.506111091O. Zhurba1.1711512113WAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113WAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331WAug 29 · 13:00O. Zhurba1.1711911113D. Neborak4.50711561
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