TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084868
Played Sep 6Finished
Valeriy Melnik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012112811911––
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValeriy Melnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingValeriy Melnik above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Valeriy Melnik at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Valeriy Melnik 127–97 Yevhen Masko Yevhen Masko has won 97 of their 224 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:18What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
127-97 in 224
Melnik
Wrong
gap of 30 in 224, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1685 vs Masko 1691
Masko
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 80% vs Masko 20%
Melnik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 60% vs Masko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik +1 · Masko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Melnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 1.83 / Masko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Melnik)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084868
Melnik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Masko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnik5wins
AwayMasko5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnik100%5 of 5
AwayMasko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik5Masko5n = 10split evenly
S2Melnik4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S3Melnik5Masko5n = 10split evenly
S4Melnik3Masko2n = 5Melnik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnikMaskoMelnik − MaskoBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.432.2+1.2per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 706 vs 431 / 75055.7%57.5%393 / 706 vs 431 / 750Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnikMelnik 1.83/Masko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Melnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik—11811113Y. Masko—711931
LAug 29 · 03:55V. Melnik—6880Y. Masko—1111113
WAug 23 · 13:55V. Melnik—11611113Y. Masko—911471
LAug 22 · 19:25V. Melnik—129110Y. Masko—1411133
LAug 21 · 22:25V. Melnik—6119111Y. Masko—11811133
LAug 15 · 19:25V. Melnik—810100Y. Masko—1112123
WAug 14 · 22:25V. Melnik—11114113Y. Masko—851161
LAug 9 · 15:55V. Melnik—491171Y. Masko—11114113
WAug 8 · 18:25V. Melnik—1112113Y. Masko—51090
WAug 8 · 03:55V. Melnik—1111113Y. Masko—8670
V. Melnik10
WSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3691142R. Reznychenko3.0011831LSep 6 · 15:55V. Melnik1.5310860E. Pismenniy2.381211113WSep 6 · 13:55V. Melnik1.801191173R. Cherevko1.91911921WSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931WSep 5 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin1.67111114732V. Melnik2.107131211113LSep 5 · 24:55V. Melnik1.831115111282R. Cherevko1.83917914113WSep 4 · 23:55E. Pismenniy2.75115631V. Melnik1.4071111113WSep 4 · 22:25V. Melnik1.361111123R. Reznychenko3.0064100LAug 29 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.571113113V. Melnik2.2581180
Y. Masko10
LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160LSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103WSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko1.221161383R. Reznychenko4.005111151WSep 5 · 13:55Y. Masko1.44121111103E. Pismenniy2.631013971LSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931
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