TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12414983
Played Aug 13Finished
Dmytro Neborak
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114119611112––
Oleksandr Belskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Neborak to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Neborak above · Oleksandr Belskyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 65 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Dmytro Neborak at 58.7%
65 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Neborak 16–11 Oleksandr Belskyi Oleksandr Belskyi has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:50What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Neborak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-11 in 27
Neborak
Correct
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neborak 1687 vs Belskyi 1517
Neborak
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neborak 60% vs Belskyi 0%
Neborak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neborak 50% vs Belskyi 0%
Neborak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Neborak +1 · Belskyi -5
Belskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Neborak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeborak 1.61 / Belskyi 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Neborak)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12414983
Neborak1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 36 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it81% 25 of 31
Belskyi2.20
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog21% won 9 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeborak6wins
AwayBelskyi4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNeborak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeborak80%4 of 5
AwayBelskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neborak5Belskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Neborak5Belskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Neborak4Belskyi6n = 10Belskyi took 6 of 10
S4Neborak5Belskyi2n = 7Neborak took 5 of 7
S5Neborak2Belskyi1n = 3Neborak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeborakBelskyiN − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.737.8−2.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeborakBelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 857 vs 45 / 11135.2%40.5%302 / 857 vs 45 / 111Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeborakNeborak 1.61/Belskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Neborak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Neborak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 20 · 06:50D. Neborak—11114113O. Belskyi—751181
LJun 19 · 14:50D. Neborak—312651O. Belskyi—111011113
WMay 16 · 09:50D. Neborak—81111113O. Belskyi—114951
LMay 15 · 20:20D. Neborak—5490O. Belskyi—1111113
WMay 1 · 09:35D. Neborak—111713123O. Belskyi—1161111102
WApr 30 · 12:40D. Neborak—13511113O. Belskyi—1111861
WApr 18 · 06:30D. Neborak—118116113O. Belskyi—91191132
LApr 17 · 16:15D. Neborak—11930O. Belskyi—1311113
WApr 17 · 13:40D. Neborak—1211113O. Belskyi—10890
LFeb 14 · 11:20D. Neborak—1110311122O. Belskyi—912117133
D. Neborak10
LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191LSep 5 · 15:25D. Neborak2.63111115972R. Cherevko1.44981711103WSep 5 · 14:25R. Reznychenko4.0093140D. Neborak1.221111163
O. Belskyi10
LAug 13 · 10:19O. Belskyi1.57111110382D. Neborak2.25761211113LAug 13 · 09:05O. Ivchuk1.8371111113O. Belskyi1.83118551WAug 13 · 07:35I. Hermakivskyi1.5311117652O. Belskyi2.38851111113LAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950LAug 12 · 16:00O. Ivchuk2.001111113O. Belskyi1.736950LAug 12 · 14:30I. Hermakivskyi1.7311814113O. Belskyi2.002111281LAug 12 · 13:00O. Bondarchuk1.221111113O. Belskyi4.008280LAug 12 · 12:00D. Neborak1.6711911113O. Belskyi2.10911761LJun 20 · 12:20O. Belskyi4.0011711552O. Bondarchuk1.22711311113LJun 20 · 10:20M. Zavada1.281316113O. Belskyi3.50111430
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