TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12071671
Played Jun 20Finished
Oleksandr Belskyi
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117711113511511
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Away
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOleksandr Belskyi above · Oleksandr Bondarchuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 82 set 5, 5-11
82 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Belskyi 2–14 Oleksandr Bondarchuk Oleksandr Belskyi has won 2 of their 16 meetings.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Bondarchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelskyi 4.00 / Bondarchuk 1.22
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Bondarchuk)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12071671
Belskyi4.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 25 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Bondarchuk1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 43 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it83% 34 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBelskyi2wins
AwayBondarchuk8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBondarchuk leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBelskyi20%1 of 5
AwayBondarchuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belskyi5Bondarchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Belskyi3Bondarchuk7n = 10Bondarchuk took 7 of 10
S3Belskyi2Bondarchuk8n = 10Bondarchuk took 8 of 10
S4Belskyi1Bondarchuk6n = 7Bondarchuk took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBelskyiBondarchukBelskyi − BondarchukBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.739.4−5.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelskyiBondarchukBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 150 vs 283 / 53538%52.9%57 / 150 vs 283 / 535Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarchukBelskyi 4.00/Bondarchuk 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.4%
Bondarchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bondarchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 16 · 10:50O. Belskyi—1112113O. Bondarchuk—51080
LMay 15 · 18:50O. Belskyi—5790O. Bondarchuk—1111113
LMay 1 · 05:05O. Belskyi—119991O. Bondarchuk—41111113
LApr 30 · 13:40O. Belskyi—912651O. Bondarchuk—111011113
LApr 18 · 08:00O. Belskyi—7850O. Bondarchuk—1111113
LApr 17 · 12:10O. Belskyi—114561O. Bondarchuk—81111113
LOct 31 · 10:35O. Belskyi—11138101O. Bondarchuk—81511123
LOct 30 · 12:10O. Belskyi—1141071O. Bondarchuk—61112113
WJun 13 · 10:05O. Belskyi—1412811113O. Bondarchuk—161011992
LJun 12 · 12:10O. Belskyi—11411101O. Bondarchuk—13117123
O. Belskyi10
LAug 13 · 10:19O. Belskyi1.57111110382D. Neborak2.25761211113LAug 13 · 09:05O. Ivchuk1.8371111113O. Belskyi1.83118551WAug 13 · 07:35I. Hermakivskyi1.5311117652O. Belskyi2.38851111113LAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950LAug 13 · 05:05D. Neborak1.6111116113O. Belskyi2.20491121LAug 12 · 16:00O. Ivchuk2.001111113O. Belskyi1.736950LAug 12 · 14:30I. Hermakivskyi1.7311814113O. Belskyi2.002111281LAug 12 · 13:00O. Bondarchuk1.221111113O. Belskyi4.008280LAug 12 · 12:00D. Neborak1.6711911113O. Belskyi2.10911761LJun 20 · 10:20M. Zavada1.281316113O. Belskyi3.50111430
O. Bondarchuk10
WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 09:35O. Bondarchuk1.3611911113D. Neborak3.00511841WAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661WAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950WAug 12 · 13:00O. Bondarchuk1.221111113O. Belskyi4.008280
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