TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12421950
Played Aug 13Finished
Oleksandr Ivchuk
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116511811511––
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
How it is goingOleksandr Ivchuk above · Oleksandr Bondarchuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 68 set 4, 5-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ivchuk 1–25 Oleksandr Bondarchuk Oleksandr Ivchuk has won 1 of their 26 meetings.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Bondarchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarchuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvchuk 3.75 / Bondarchuk 1.25
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Bondarchuk)+15.8pp
Setka Cup · #12421950
Ivchuk3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 16 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Bondarchuk1.25
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 71 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it84% 53 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvchuk0wins
AwayBondarchuk10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBondarchuk leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvchuk0%0 of 5
AwayBondarchuk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivchuk5Bondarchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Ivchuk4Bondarchuk6n = 10Bondarchuk took 6 of 10
S3Ivchuk2Bondarchuk8n = 10Bondarchuk took 8 of 10
S4Ivchuk0Bondarchuk9n = 9Bondarchuk took 9 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away770%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvchukBondarchukI − BBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.840.9−9.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvchukBondarchukBasisWin rate · lifetime389 / 561 vs 204 / 37069.3%55.1%389 / 561 vs 204 / 370Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarchukIvchuk 3.75/Bondarchuk 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.8%
Bondarchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bondarchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 07:05O. Ivchuk—811481O. Bondarchuk—11911113
LAug 12 · 17:34O. Ivchuk—114861O. Bondarchuk—91111113
LAug 12 · 14:00O. Ivchuk—14811642O. Bondarchuk—1211711113
LAug 8 · 08:50O. Ivchuk—56100O. Bondarchuk—1111123
LAug 7 · 15:00O. Ivchuk—11116572O. Bondarchuk—371111113
LJul 30 · 07:20O. Ivchuk—119691O. Bondarchuk—61111113
LJul 29 · 17:08O. Ivchuk—391191O. Bondarchuk—11115113
LJul 29 · 14:30O. Ivchuk—116391O. Bondarchuk—91111113
LJun 5 · 17:20O. Ivchuk—711421O. Bondarchuk—11811113
LMay 23 · 10:20O. Ivchuk—7115111O. Bondarchuk—11111133
O. Ivchuk10
WAug 21 · 17:44O. Ivchuk1.83211119133D. Neborak1.83118711112LAug 21 · 16:00O. Ivchuk1.508880I. Hermakivskyi2.501111113WAug 21 · 15:00D. Neborak1.7311411762O. Ivchuk2.00911811113WAug 21 · 14:00A. Tkachenko2.2011911111O. Ivchuk1.6181113133LAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 09:05O. Ivchuk1.8371111113O. Belskyi1.83118551WAug 13 · 08:05D. Neborak1.8311311572O. Ivchuk1.83811811113LAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481WAug 13 · 05:35I. Hermakivskyi2.005540O. Ivchuk1.731111113LAug 12 · 17:34O. Ivchuk3.50114861O. Bondarchuk1.2891111113
O. Bondarchuk10
WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 09:35O. Bondarchuk1.3611911113D. Neborak3.00511841WAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661WAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481WAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950WAug 12 · 17:34O. Ivchuk3.50114861O. Bondarchuk1.2891111113
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