Illia Hermakivskyi vs Oleksandr Bondarchuk 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12471341

Played Aug 21Finished

Illia Hermakivskyi

Home

2.75

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1165111214411––

Oleksandr Bondarchuk

Away

1.40

At publish

Won last 10

Form at publish

10–0Last 10Won last 10

How it is goingIllia Hermakivskyi above · Oleksandr Bondarchuk below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 12-14

Set 4 · 4-11

Point 74 set 4, 4-11

74 points played in total.

H2H Illia Hermakivskyi 1–8 Oleksandr Bondarchuk Illia Hermakivskyi has won 1 of their 9 meetings.

Last 9 · 1–8Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Bondarchuk)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Bondarchuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHermakivskyi 2.75 / Bondarchuk 1.40

Signal prob.23% / 77%

Edge (Bondarchuk)+11.0pp

Setka Cup · #12471341

Hermakivskyi2.75

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog35% won 9 of 26

Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 11

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9

Bondarchuk1.40

100%won 10 of 10 · last 10

Won last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite69% won 75 of 108

Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38

Up 1–0, closes it85% 55 of 65

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeHermakivskyi1wins

AwayBondarchuk8wins

6 of 9 to a deciderBondarchuk leads 8–1, and 6 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHermakivskyi33.3%1 of 3

AwayBondarchuk100%6 of 6

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Hermakivskyi3Bondarchuk6n = 9Bondarchuk took 6 of 9

S2Hermakivskyi2Bondarchuk7n = 9Bondarchuk took 7 of 9

S3Hermakivskyi4Bondarchuk5n = 9Bondarchuk took 5 of 9

S4Hermakivskyi4Bondarchuk3n = 7Hermakivskyi took 4 of 7

S5Hermakivskyi1Bondarchuk5n = 6Bondarchuk took 5 of 6

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home111%

2–3Decider, away556%

1–3Four sets, away111%

0–3Straight, away222%

These 9 meetings

MetricHermakivskyiBondarchukH − BBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match39.244.3−5.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHermakivskyiBondarchukBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 47 vs 200 / 36044.7%55.6%21 / 47 vs 200 / 360Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Bondarchuk

Hermakivskyi 2.75/Bondarchuk 1.40

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

77.3%

Bondarchuk · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Bondarchuk won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record9

LAug 21 · 14:30I. Hermakivskyi—7580O. Bondarchuk—1111113

LAug 13 · 08:35I. Hermakivskyi—1110661O. Bondarchuk—71211113

LAug 12 · 15:30I. Hermakivskyi—66111742O. Bondarchuk—1111815113

LAug 8 · 05:50I. Hermakivskyi—711111282O. Bondarchuk—117314113

LAug 7 · 12:00I. Hermakivskyi—41191162O. Bondarchuk—119117113

WJul 30 · 05:50I. Hermakivskyi—1110113113O. Bondarchuk—91241152

LJul 29 · 12:30I. Hermakivskyi—118611102O. Bondarchuk—911118123

LJul 4 · 17:39I. Hermakivskyi—99111192O. Bondarchuk—111196113

LJul 4 · 14:28I. Hermakivskyi—10690O. Bondarchuk—1211113

I. Hermakivskyi10

WAug 21 · 16:00O. Ivchuk1.508880I. Hermakivskyi2.501111113 LAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580 LAug 21 · 13:00A. Tkachenko2.00141011143I. Hermakivskyi1.7312127121 WAug 21 · 12:00D. Neborak1.61811511102I. Hermakivskyi2.20119116123 LAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661 LAug 13 · 07:35I. Hermakivskyi1.5311117652O. Belskyi2.38851111113 LAug 13 · 06:35D. Neborak2.001111113I. Hermakivskyi1.731540 LAug 13 · 05:35I. Hermakivskyi2.005540O. Ivchuk1.731111113 LAug 12 · 17:04I. Hermakivskyi1.83111111982D. Neborak1.83413511113 LAug 12 · 15:30O. Bondarchuk1.611111815113I. Hermakivskyi2.2066111742

O. Bondarchuk10

WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113 WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580 WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113 WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071 WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113 WAug 13 · 09:35O. Bondarchuk1.3611911113D. Neborak3.00511841 WAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661 WAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481 WAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950 WAug 12 · 15:30O. Bondarchuk1.611111815113I. Hermakivskyi2.2066111742

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