Oleksandr Ivchuk vs Dmytro Neborak 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12471454

Played Aug 21Finished

Oleksandr Ivchuk

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

2111181179111311

Dmytro Neborak

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingOleksandr Ivchuk above · Dmytro Neborak below

Set 1 · 2-11

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 9-11

Set 5 · 13-11

Point 94 set 5, 13-11

94 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Ivchuk 13–24 Dmytro Neborak Oleksandr Ivchuk has won 13 of their 37 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ivchuk)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Neborak form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsIvchuk 1.83 / Neborak 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Ivchuk)+4.0pp

Setka Cup · #12471454

Ivchuk1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Neborak1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeIvchuk5wins

AwayNeborak5wins

5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeIvchuk60%3 of 5

AwayNeborak60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Ivchuk5Neborak5n = 10split evenly

S2Ivchuk4Neborak6n = 10Neborak took 6 of 10

S3Ivchuk4Neborak6n = 10Neborak took 6 of 10

S4Ivchuk4Neborak3n = 7Ivchuk took 4 of 7

S5Ivchuk3Neborak2n = 5Ivchuk took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricIvchukNeborakI − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.238.8−0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricIvchukNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 555 vs 300 / 85468.7%35.1%381 / 555 vs 300 / 854Avg sets wonper match2.41.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.435.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Ivchuk

Ivchuk 1.83/Neborak 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Ivchuk · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Ivchuk won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 13 · 08:05O. Ivchuk—811811113D. Neborak—11311572

WAug 12 · 15:00O. Ivchuk—118911123D. Neborak—811116102

WAug 8 · 07:50O. Ivchuk—10111011113D. Neborak—12912672

WAug 7 · 14:00O. Ivchuk—15311113D. Neborak—1311731

LJul 30 · 09:20O. Ivchuk—99100D. Neborak—1111123

LJul 29 · 12:00O. Ivchuk—115921D. Neborak—41111113

WJun 5 · 18:20O. Ivchuk—1111113D. Neborak—9960

LMay 23 · 08:50O. Ivchuk—7440D. Neborak—1111113

LMay 22 · 16:50O. Ivchuk—91211582D. Neborak—1110811113

LMay 16 · 12:20O. Ivchuk—11611762D. Neborak—811511113

O. Ivchuk10

LAug 21 · 16:00O. Ivchuk1.508880I. Hermakivskyi2.501111113 WAug 21 · 15:00D. Neborak1.7311411762O. Ivchuk2.00911811113 WAug 21 · 14:00A. Tkachenko2.2011911111O. Ivchuk1.6181113133 LAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071 LAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113 WAug 13 · 09:05O. Ivchuk1.8371111113O. Belskyi1.83118551 WAug 13 · 08:05D. Neborak1.8311311572O. Ivchuk1.83811811113 LAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481 WAug 13 · 05:35I. Hermakivskyi2.005540O. Ivchuk1.731111113 LAug 12 · 17:34O. Ivchuk3.50114861O. Bondarchuk1.2891111113

D. Neborak10

LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123 WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992 WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670 WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532 WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641 WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080 WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103 LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191 LAug 21 · 15:00D. Neborak1.7311411762O. Ivchuk2.00911811113 LAug 13 · 08:05D. Neborak1.8311311572O. Ivchuk1.83811811113

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