TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094553
Played Sep 8Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711511711––
Dmytro Zeniuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeBohdan Kohut to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Bohdan Kohut at 55.3%
70 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 29–17 Dmytro Zeniuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 17 of their 46 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:43What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kohut
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-17 in 46
Kohut
Wrong
gap of 12 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1899 vs Zeniuk 2030
Zeniuk
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 20% vs Zeniuk 80%
Zeniuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 20% vs Zeniuk 60%
Zeniuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut -2 · Zeniuk +3
Zeniuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeniuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 1.73 / Zeniuk 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zeniuk)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13094553
Kohut1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 36 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 28 of 37
Zeniuk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 34 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut6wins
AwayZeniuk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKohut leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut80%4 of 5
AwayZeniuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kohut6Zeniuk4n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S3Kohut6Zeniuk4n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S4Kohut3Zeniuk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutZeniukK − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.937.5−0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 633 vs 375 / 73244.2%51.2%280 / 633 vs 375 / 732Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KohutKohut 1.73/Zeniuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 19:05B. Kohut—571121D. Zeniuk—11115113
LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut—96110D. Zeniuk—1111133
LAug 25 · 05:35B. Kohut—121111582D. Zeniuk—1071311113
WAug 24 · 14:05B. Kohut—31311153D. Zeniuk—11118131
WAug 21 · 06:25B. Kohut—1111113D. Zeniuk—9860
WAug 20 · 16:25B. Kohut—118129113D. Zeniuk—911101162
LAug 19 · 21:00B. Kohut—111170D. Zeniuk—1313113
WAug 4 · 11:35B. Kohut—12117123D. Zeniuk—10911101
WMar 12 · 23:15B. Kohut—1111113D. Zeniuk—9590
WMar 10 · 09:05B. Kohut—81111113D. Zeniuk—118991
B. Kohut10
LSep 8 · 05:35V. Verbyany1.80118148113B. Kohut1.91811121162LSep 7 · 19:05D. Zeniuk2.2511115113B. Kohut1.57571121WSep 7 · 17:35B. Kohut1.2512512113A. Zeniuk3.7510111071LSep 7 · 15:35V. Verbyany1.801113163B. Kohut1.91311140LSep 7 · 13:35A. Molochko1.446111112113B. Kohut2.6311471482LSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WAug 31 · 03:00B. Kohut1.301111113A. Zeniuk3.406840LAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk1.33111111113B. Kohut3.25136661LAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133
D. Zeniuk10
WSep 8 · 04:35A. Molochko1.537950D. Zeniuk2.381111113WSep 7 · 19:05D. Zeniuk2.2511115113B. Kohut1.57571121WSep 7 · 17:05N. Danyliuk1.3641140D. Zeniuk3.001113113LSep 7 · 15:05A. Molochko1.57911116113D. Zeniuk2.2511961142WSep 7 · 14:05D. Zeniuk1.4451111113A. Zeniuk2.63117891LSep 7 · 13:05V. Verbyany1.7312513113D. Zeniuk2.0010111181LSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871WSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153WSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113WAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133
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