TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089386
Played Sep 7Finished
Nazar Danyliuk
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111113411––––
Dmytro Zeniuk
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:20 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 54 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 74.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 67–20 Dmytro Zeniuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 20 of their 87 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Danyliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-20 in 87
Danyliuk
Wrong
gap of 47 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danyliuk 2066 vs Zeniuk 1992
Danyliuk
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danyliuk 60% vs Zeniuk 40%
Danyliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danyliuk 70% vs Zeniuk 40%
Danyliuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danyliuk +1 · Zeniuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Danyliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danyliuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 1.36 / Zeniuk 3.00
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Danyliuk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089386
Danyliuk1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 155 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it95% 77 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it80% 117 of 147
Zeniuk3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 32 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk5wins
AwayZeniuk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk80%4 of 5
AwayZeniuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Danyliuk7Zeniuk3n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S3Danyliuk4Zeniuk6n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S4Danyliuk2Zeniuk3n = 5Zeniuk took 3 of 5
S5Danyliuk1Zeniuk2n = 3Zeniuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukZeniukD − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.635.5+0.1per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime591 / 974 vs 372 / 72960.7%51%591 / 974 vs 372 / 729Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukDanyliuk 1.36/Zeniuk 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.2%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk—1511910113D. Zeniuk—136111252
WSep 4 · 09:31N. Danyliuk—1111123D. Zeniuk—48100
WSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk—121111113D. Zeniuk—146751
LSep 3 · 14:55N. Danyliuk—111146102D. Zeniuk—851111123
WAug 31 · 16:05N. Danyliuk—1111113D. Zeniuk—9680
WAug 31 · 24:00N. Danyliuk—11118123D. Zeniuk—5811101
LAug 25 · 09:38N. Danyliuk—7750D. Zeniuk—1111113
LAug 25 · 07:05N. Danyliuk—6550D. Zeniuk—1111113
LAug 24 · 16:05N. Danyliuk—7680D. Zeniuk—1111113
LAug 23 · 20:30N. Danyliuk—1112111042D. Zeniuk—1310512113
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 7 · 16:05N. Danyliuk1.081114113A. Zeniuk7.0071280LSep 7 · 14:35N. Danyliuk1.531720V. Verbyany2.381111113WSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262LSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252WSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123LSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 15:05A. Molochko1.57911116113D. Zeniuk2.2511961142WSep 7 · 14:05D. Zeniuk1.4451111113A. Zeniuk2.63117891LSep 7 · 13:05V. Verbyany1.7312513113D. Zeniuk2.0010111181LSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871WSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153WSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252LSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123WSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751
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