TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089081
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Zeniuk
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511117118119––
Andrii Zeniuk
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Zeniuk to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Zeniuk above · Andrii Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Dmytro Zeniuk at 67.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Zeniuk 62–34 Andrii Zeniuk Andrii Zeniuk has won 34 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zeniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
62-34 in 96
Zeniuk
Correct
gap of 28 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 1999 vs Zeniuk 1785
Zeniuk
Correct
both rated, 214 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 40% vs Zeniuk 20%
Zeniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 40% vs Zeniuk 20%
Zeniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk -2 · Zeniuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Zeniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeniuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 1.44 / Zeniuk 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Zeniuk)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13089081
Zeniuk1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 88 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it83% 71 of 86
Zeniuk2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 57 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back23% 19 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeniuk6wins
AwayZeniuk4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZeniuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk66.7%4 of 6
AwayZeniuk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk6Zeniuk4n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S2Zeniuk6Zeniuk4n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S3Zeniuk7Zeniuk3n = 10Zeniuk took 7 of 10
S4Zeniuk5Zeniuk3n = 8Zeniuk took 5 of 8
S5Zeniuk1Zeniuk3n = 4Zeniuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeniukZeniukZeniuk − ZeniukBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.637.5+4.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime371 / 727 vs 279 / 51251%54.5%371 / 727 vs 279 / 512Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeniukZeniuk 1.44/Zeniuk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Zeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 24:00D. Zeniuk—811871A. Zeniuk—11811113
WSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk—1113113A. Zeniuk—71140
WSep 3 · 13:25D. Zeniuk—71312113A. Zeniuk—11111011
WAug 31 · 17:35D. Zeniuk—11811113A. Zeniuk—611591
LAug 31 · 01:30D. Zeniuk—1011118102A. Zeniuk—123711123
WAug 24 · 17:35D. Zeniuk—971111113A. Zeniuk—11119982
LAug 21 · 09:55D. Zeniuk—117116122A. Zeniuk—611911143
WAug 20 · 17:55D. Zeniuk—111110113A. Zeniuk—741261
WAug 20 · 24:00D. Zeniuk—1111123A. Zeniuk—87100
LAug 4 · 05:05D. Zeniuk—11551182A. Zeniuk—811119113
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 13:05V. Verbyany1.7312513113D. Zeniuk2.0010111181LSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871WSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153WSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252LSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123WSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561WSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113
A. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 12:05A. Molochko1.201191210113A. Zeniuk4.33811101272WSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871LSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181LSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891LSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661LSep 3 · 15:25V. Verbyany1.3012911113A. Zeniuk3.401011961
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