TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089180
Played Sep 7Finished
Vasily Verbyany
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12105111311118––
Dmytro Zeniuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeVasily Verbyany to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVasily Verbyany above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 81 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vasily Verbyany at 55.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H Vasily Verbyany 50–34 Dmytro Zeniuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 34 of their 84 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Verbyany
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-34 in 84
Verbyany
Correct
gap of 16 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Verbyany 1917 vs Zeniuk 2014
Zeniuk
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Verbyany 40% vs Zeniuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Verbyany 50% vs Zeniuk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Verbyany -3 · Zeniuk -1
Verbyany
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Verbyany form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVerbyany 1.73 / Zeniuk 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zeniuk)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13089180
Verbyany1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 42 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45
Zeniuk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 32 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVerbyany5wins
AwayZeniuk5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVerbyany66.7%4 of 6
AwayZeniuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Verbyany6Zeniuk4n = 10Verbyany took 6 of 10
S2Verbyany3Zeniuk7n = 10Zeniuk took 7 of 10
S3Verbyany4Zeniuk6n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S4Verbyany4Zeniuk3n = 7Verbyany took 4 of 7
S5Verbyany3Zeniuk2n = 5Verbyany took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVerbyanyZeniukV − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.238.5−0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVerbyanyZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 783 vs 371 / 72641%51.1%321 / 783 vs 371 / 726Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VerbyanyVerbyany 1.73/Zeniuk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Verbyany won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany—7118131D. Zeniuk—11911153
LSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany—11481172D. Zeniuk—311119113
WSep 3 · 16:25V. Verbyany—961113113D. Zeniuk—111161152
LAug 31 · 18:35V. Verbyany—11911992D. Zeniuk—911811113
WAug 31 · 02:30V. Verbyany—118311113D. Zeniuk—41111682
LAug 25 · 08:35V. Verbyany—3960D. Zeniuk—1111113
WAug 24 · 18:35V. Verbyany—118115113D. Zeniuk—81161192
LAug 23 · 23:30V. Verbyany—6680D. Zeniuk—1111113
WAug 21 · 10:55V. Verbyany—11119113D. Zeniuk—471171
WAug 20 · 13:25V. Verbyany—1111113D. Zeniuk—4790
V. Verbyany10
LSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560LSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153LSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891WSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.5381191182V. Verbyany2.38114119113LSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113LSep 3 · 17:09N. Danyliuk1.611111113V. Verbyany2.206440
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871WSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153WSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252LSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123WSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561WSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113WSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko1.67118811132D. Zeniuk2.10811117153
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