TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089420
Played Sep 7Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119116611114
Dmytro Zeniuk
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:30 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 89 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Anton Molochko at 59.2%
89 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 51–25 Dmytro Zeniuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 25 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Molochko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-25 in 76
Molochko
Correct
gap of 26 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 1951 vs Zeniuk 2018
Zeniuk
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 80% vs Zeniuk 60%
Molochko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 60% vs Zeniuk 40%
Molochko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko +2 · Zeniuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Molochko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeniuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 1.57 / Zeniuk 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Molochko)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13089420
Molochko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 147 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it96% 66 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it84% 106 of 127
Zeniuk2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 32 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko2wins
AwayZeniuk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZeniuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZeniuk75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko2Zeniuk8n = 10Zeniuk took 8 of 10
S2Molochko2Zeniuk8n = 10Zeniuk took 8 of 10
S3Molochko4Zeniuk6n = 10Zeniuk took 6 of 10
S4Molochko2Zeniuk4n = 6Zeniuk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoZeniukM − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.438.0−7.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime547 / 934 vs 374 / 73158.6%51.2%547 / 934 vs 374 / 731Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoMolochko 1.57/Zeniuk 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Molochko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 15:05A. Molochko—911116113D. Zeniuk—11961142
LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko—129751D. Zeniuk—101111113
WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko—111111113D. Zeniuk—137561
LSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko—118811132D. Zeniuk—811117153
LSep 3 · 11:55A. Molochko—61090D. Zeniuk—1112113
LAug 31 · 12:05A. Molochko—821131D. Zeniuk—11115113
LAug 30 · 20:00A. Molochko—8870D. Zeniuk—1111113
LAug 25 · 04:35A. Molochko—5130D. Zeniuk—1111113
LAug 24 · 12:05A. Molochko—3540D. Zeniuk—1111113
LAug 23 · 21:30A. Molochko—1061181D. Zeniuk—12118113
A. Molochko10
WSep 8 · 10:35A. Molochko1.91111014113N. Danyliuk1.804121291LSep 8 · 09:05A. Molochko1.4411141141V. Verbyany2.6391613113LSep 8 · 07:35A. Molochko1.44911118172B. Kohut2.63117511193WSep 8 · 06:05A. Molochko1.17111111113A. Zeniuk4.50138281LSep 8 · 04:35A. Molochko1.537950D. Zeniuk2.381111113LSep 7 · 18:05A. Molochko2.00129591N. Danyliuk1.73101111113LSep 7 · 16:35A. Molochko1.575111251V. Verbyany2.25111310113WSep 7 · 13:35A. Molochko1.446111112113B. Kohut2.6311471482WSep 7 · 12:05A. Molochko1.201191210113A. Zeniuk4.33811101272LSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 8 · 11:05V. Verbyany1.7311711123D. Zeniuk2.008117101WSep 8 · 10:05A. Zeniuk2.7511761232D. Zeniuk1.408111110113LSep 8 · 08:35N. Danyliuk1.301111113D. Zeniuk3.405350WSep 8 · 06:35B. Kohut1.73117571D. Zeniuk2.0071111113WSep 8 · 04:35A. Molochko1.537950D. Zeniuk2.381111113WSep 7 · 19:05D. Zeniuk2.2511115113B. Kohut1.57571121WSep 7 · 17:05N. Danyliuk1.3641140D. Zeniuk3.001113113WSep 7 · 14:05D. Zeniuk1.4451111113A. Zeniuk2.63117891LSep 7 · 13:05V. Verbyany1.7312513113D. Zeniuk2.0010111181LSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871
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