TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089246
Played Sep 7Finished
Nazar Danyliuk
Home
1.08
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171412118––––
Andrii Zeniuk
Away
7.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 90.0% is still 90.0%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
90.0%
90.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Andrii Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 63 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 90.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 14–3 Andrii Zeniuk Andrii Zeniuk has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
Danyliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-3 in 17
Danyliuk
Correct
gap of 11 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danyliuk 2061 vs Zeniuk 1779
Danyliuk
Correct
both rated, 282 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danyliuk 60% vs Zeniuk 20%
Danyliuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danyliuk 70% vs Zeniuk 20%
Danyliuk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danyliuk -1 · Zeniuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danyliuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (92%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 1.08 / Zeniuk 7.00
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Danyliuk)+3.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089246
Danyliuk1.08
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 155 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it95% 77 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it80% 117 of 147
Zeniuk7.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 57 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back23% 19 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk9wins
AwayZeniuk1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk100%8 of 8
AwayZeniukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk8Zeniuk2n = 10Danyliuk took 8 of 10
S2Danyliuk5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Danyliuk7Zeniuk3n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S4Danyliuk5Zeniuk0n = 5Danyliuk took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukZeniukD − ZBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.126.7+12.4per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime590 / 973 vs 279 / 51360.6%54.4%590 / 973 vs 279 / 513Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukDanyliuk 1.08/Zeniuk 7.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk—81113113A. Zeniuk—1121181
WSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk—111811113A. Zeniuk—220661
WSep 3 · 12:25N. Danyliuk—11911113A. Zeniuk—711581
WAug 31 · 12:35N. Danyliuk—1111113A. Zeniuk—5350
WAug 30 · 20:30N. Danyliuk—1111113A. Zeniuk—1350
LAug 24 · 12:35N. Danyliuk—10820A. Zeniuk—1211113
WAug 21 · 05:55N. Danyliuk—1111113A. Zeniuk—6360
WAug 20 · 15:55N. Danyliuk—1291211113A. Zeniuk—101114832
WAug 19 · 20:30N. Danyliuk—1111113A. Zeniuk—8150
WAug 4 · 07:05N. Danyliuk—116911113A. Zeniuk—91111442
N. Danyliuk10
LSep 7 · 14:35N. Danyliuk1.531720V. Verbyany2.381111113WSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262LSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252WSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123LSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110WSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751
A. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 14:05D. Zeniuk1.4451111113A. Zeniuk2.63117891LSep 7 · 12:05A. Molochko1.201191210113A. Zeniuk4.33811101272WSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871LSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181LSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891LSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661
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