TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105759
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117119611411811
Nazar Danyliuk
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:39 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bondarchuk to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Bondarchuk above · Nazar Danyliuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Bondarchuk at 55.1%
89 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:39What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Danyliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Bondarchuk 1940 vs Danyliuk 2088
Danyliuk
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarchuk 60% vs Danyliuk 80%
Danyliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarchuk 80% vs Danyliuk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarchuk -2 · Danyliuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Danyliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarchuk 2.75 / Danyliuk 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Danyliuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105759
Bondarchuk2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 28 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Danyliuk1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 160 of 264
Up 2–0, closes it95% 79 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it81% 119 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarchukDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 337 vs 587 / 96956.1%60.6%189 / 337 vs 587 / 969Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukBondarchuk 2.75/Danyliuk 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Danyliuk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Bondarchuk10
LSep 10 · 13:25O. Bondarchuk2.63371131A. Molochko1.4411119113LSep 10 · 11:55O. Bondarchuk2.201379121B. Kohut1.61111111143WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 09:35O. Bondarchuk1.3611911113D. Neborak3.00511841WAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 10 · 13:55D. Pesternikov5.50116761N. Danyliuk1.1381111113WSep 10 · 12:25A. Molochko2.10561171N. Danyliuk1.6711115113LSep 8 · 10:35A. Molochko1.91111014113N. Danyliuk1.804121291WSep 8 · 09:35N. Danyliuk1.3381111113B. Kohut3.25115981WSep 8 · 08:35N. Danyliuk1.301111113D. Zeniuk3.405350WSep 8 · 07:05N. Danyliuk1.44981111113V. Verbyany2.6311117232WSep 8 · 05:05N. Danyliuk1.0811119113A. Zeniuk7.00661131WSep 7 · 18:05A. Molochko2.00129591N. Danyliuk1.73101111113LSep 7 · 17:05N. Danyliuk1.3641140D. Zeniuk3.001113113WSep 7 · 16:05N. Danyliuk1.081114113A. Zeniuk7.0071280
Upcoming Matches
O. Bondarchuk
N. Danyliuk
Nothing scheduled
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