TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105645
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311711119311––
Anton Molochko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bondarchuk to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Bondarchuk above · Anton Molochko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 66 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Oleksandr Bondarchuk at 64.8%
66 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Molochko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Bondarchuk 1954 vs Molochko 1933
Bondarchuk
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarchuk 80% vs Molochko 40%
Bondarchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarchuk 90% vs Molochko 40%
Bondarchuk
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarchuk -1 · Molochko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Molochko) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarchuk 2.63 / Molochko 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Molochko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105645
Bondarchuk2.63
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 28 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Molochko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 145 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it82% 101 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarchukMolochkoBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 336 vs 541 / 92756.3%58.4%189 / 336 vs 541 / 927Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoBondarchuk 2.63/Molochko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Molochko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Bondarchuk10
LSep 10 · 11:55O. Bondarchuk2.201379121B. Kohut1.61111111143WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 09:35O. Bondarchuk1.3611911113D. Neborak3.00511841WAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661WAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481
A. Molochko10
LSep 10 · 12:25A. Molochko2.10561171N. Danyliuk1.6711115113WSep 8 · 10:35A. Molochko1.91111014113N. Danyliuk1.804121291LSep 8 · 09:05A. Molochko1.4411141141V. Verbyany2.6391613113LSep 8 · 07:35A. Molochko1.44911118172B. Kohut2.63117511193WSep 8 · 06:05A. Molochko1.17111111113A. Zeniuk4.50138281LSep 8 · 04:35A. Molochko1.537950D. Zeniuk2.381111113LSep 7 · 18:05A. Molochko2.00129591N. Danyliuk1.73101111113LSep 7 · 16:35A. Molochko1.575111251V. Verbyany2.25111310113WSep 7 · 15:05A. Molochko1.57911116113D. Zeniuk2.2511961142WSep 7 · 13:35A. Molochko1.446111112113B. Kohut2.6311471482
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