TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094447
Played Sep 8Finished
Nazar Danyliuk
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911811117112113
Vasily Verbyany
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Vasily Verbyany below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 84 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 66.9%
84 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 182–72 Vasily Verbyany Vasily Verbyany has won 72 of their 254 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Danyliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
182-72 in 254
Danyliuk
Correct
gap of 110 in 254, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danyliuk 2084 vs Verbyany 1989
Danyliuk
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danyliuk 60% vs Verbyany 100%
Verbyany
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danyliuk 70% vs Verbyany 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Danyliuk +2 · Verbyany +5
Verbyany
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Verbyany form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 1.44 / Verbyany 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Danyliuk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094447
Danyliuk1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 158 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it95% 79 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it80% 119 of 149
Verbyany2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 94 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk7wins
AwayVerbyany3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk85.7%6 of 7
AwayVerbyany66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk7Verbyany3n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S2Danyliuk5Verbyany5n = 10split evenly
S3Danyliuk7Verbyany3n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S4Danyliuk4Verbyany2n = 6Danyliuk took 4 of 6
S5Danyliuk2Verbyany2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukVerbyanyD − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.031.5+6.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukVerbyanyBasisWin rate · lifetime592 / 975 vs 328 / 79160.7%41.5%592 / 975 vs 328 / 791Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukDanyliuk 1.44/Verbyany 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 07:05N. Danyliuk—981111113V. Verbyany—11117232
LSep 7 · 14:35N. Danyliuk—1720V. Verbyany—1111113
WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk—1111113V. Verbyany—7740
LSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk—81191182V. Verbyany—114119113
WSep 3 · 17:09N. Danyliuk—1111113V. Verbyany—6440
WSep 3 · 13:55N. Danyliuk—11911113V. Verbyany—511581
WAug 31 · 14:35N. Danyliuk—117116123V. Verbyany—411611102
WAug 30 · 22:30N. Danyliuk—11117113V. Verbyany—871141
WAug 25 · 05:05N. Danyliuk—1111113V. Verbyany—1580
LAug 24 · 14:35N. Danyliuk—11615852V. Verbyany—9111311113
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 8 · 08:35N. Danyliuk1.301111113D. Zeniuk3.405350WSep 8 · 05:05N. Danyliuk1.0811119113A. Zeniuk7.00661131WSep 7 · 18:05A. Molochko2.00129591N. Danyliuk1.73101111113LSep 7 · 17:05N. Danyliuk1.3641140D. Zeniuk3.001113113WSep 7 · 16:05N. Danyliuk1.081114113A. Zeniuk7.0071280LSep 7 · 14:35N. Danyliuk1.531720V. Verbyany2.381111113WSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262LSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181
V. Verbyany10
WSep 8 · 08:05V. Verbyany1.201311113A. Zeniuk4.3311180WSep 8 · 05:35V. Verbyany1.80118148113B. Kohut1.91811121162WSep 7 · 18:35V. Verbyany1.221111113A. Zeniuk4.006670WSep 7 · 16:35A. Molochko1.575111251V. Verbyany2.25111310113WSep 7 · 15:35V. Verbyany1.801113163B. Kohut1.91311140WSep 7 · 14:35N. Danyliuk1.531720V. Verbyany2.381111113WSep 7 · 13:05V. Verbyany1.7312513113D. Zeniuk2.0010111181LSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560LSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153LSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.