TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105692
Played Sep 10Finished
Denys Pesternikov
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1161719611711––
Anton Molochko
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:32 and never touched — 80.2% is still 80.2%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
80.2%
80.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Pesternikov above · Anton Molochko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 17-19
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 88 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Anton Molochko at 80.2%
88 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:32What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Molochko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pesternikov 1892 vs Molochko 1959
Molochko
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pesternikov 20% vs Molochko 60%
Molochko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pesternikov 60% vs Molochko 40%
Pesternikov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pesternikov -4 · Molochko +2
Pesternikov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Molochko) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesternikov 4.50 / Molochko 1.17
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Molochko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13105692
Pesternikov4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 98 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 59
Molochko1.17
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 145 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it82% 101 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesternikovMolochkoBasisWin rate · lifetime589 / 1102 vs 543 / 92953.5%58.5%589 / 1102 vs 543 / 929Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoPesternikov 4.50/Molochko 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.2%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Molochko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Pesternikov10
LSep 10 · 13:55D. Pesternikov5.50116761N. Danyliuk1.1381111113LSep 10 · 12:55D. Pesternikov1.8098121172B. Kohut1.911111107113LSep 8 · 10:55D. Pesternikov1.337380N. Kovalchuk3.251111113LSep 8 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.75721211113D. Pesternikov1.40111110982WSep 8 · 07:55D. Pesternikov1.171111113O. Hura4.508440WSep 8 · 06:55I. Kozachuk2.2511140982D. Pesternikov1.578121111113WSep 8 · 05:25D. Pesternikov1.5011811113S. Rak2.50811461WSep 7 · 17:55I. Romaniak2.7571050D. Pesternikov1.401112113WSep 7 · 16:55D. Pesternikov1.501311113S. Rak2.5011550WSep 7 · 15:55D. Pesternikov1.2811118113D. Shcherbak3.50941161
A. Molochko10
WSep 10 · 14:25A. Molochko1.401111113B. Kohut2.759670WSep 10 · 13:25O. Bondarchuk2.63371131A. Molochko1.4411119113LSep 10 · 12:25A. Molochko2.10561171N. Danyliuk1.6711115113WSep 8 · 10:35A. Molochko1.91111014113N. Danyliuk1.804121291LSep 8 · 09:05A. Molochko1.4411141141V. Verbyany2.6391613113LSep 8 · 07:35A. Molochko1.44911118172B. Kohut2.63117511193WSep 8 · 06:05A. Molochko1.17111111113A. Zeniuk4.50138281LSep 8 · 04:35A. Molochko1.537950D. Zeniuk2.381111113LSep 7 · 18:05A. Molochko2.00129591N. Danyliuk1.73101111113LSep 7 · 16:35A. Molochko1.575111251V. Verbyany2.25111310113
Upcoming Matches
D. Pesternikov
A. Molochko
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