TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105576
Played Sep 10Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116117––––
Bohdan Kohut
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Anton Molochko at 68.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 89–34 Bohdan Kohut Bohdan Kohut has won 34 of their 123 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Molochko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
89-34 in 123
Molochko
Correct
gap of 55 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 1946 vs Kohut 1928
Molochko
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 40% vs Kohut 80%
Kohut
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 40% vs Kohut 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko +1 · Kohut +3
Kohut
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Molochko) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 1.40 / Kohut 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Molochko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13105576
Molochko1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 145 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it82% 101 of 123
Kohut2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 115 of 306
Down 0–1, comes back19% 31 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko6wins
AwayKohut4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMolochko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochko100%3 of 3
AwayKohut57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko3Kohut7n = 10Kohut took 7 of 10
S2Molochko5Kohut5n = 10split evenly
S3Molochko8Kohut2n = 10Molochko took 8 of 10
S4Molochko6Kohut4n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S5Molochko3Kohut3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoKohutM − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match46.143.7+2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime542 / 928 vs 284 / 63958.4%44.4%542 / 928 vs 284 / 639Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoMolochko 1.40/Kohut 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Molochko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 07:35A. Molochko—911118172B. Kohut—117511193
WSep 7 · 13:35A. Molochko—6111112113B. Kohut—11471482
WAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko—1081111113B. Kohut—12117592
LAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko—513111172B. Kohut—1111136113
WAug 25 · 09:05A. Molochko—17711113B. Kohut—1511941
WAug 24 · 15:05A. Molochko—91211113B. Kohut—1110761
WAug 23 · 23:00A. Molochko—11811113B. Kohut—711791
LAug 21 · 09:25A. Molochko—101111482B. Kohut—128711113
WAug 20 · 12:55A. Molochko—118411113B. Kohut—81111682
LAug 4 · 07:35A. Molochko—981371B. Kohut—111111113
A. Molochko10
WSep 10 · 13:25O. Bondarchuk2.63371131A. Molochko1.4411119113LSep 10 · 12:25A. Molochko2.10561171N. Danyliuk1.6711115113WSep 8 · 10:35A. Molochko1.91111014113N. Danyliuk1.804121291LSep 8 · 09:05A. Molochko1.4411141141V. Verbyany2.6391613113LSep 8 · 07:35A. Molochko1.44911118172B. Kohut2.63117511193WSep 8 · 06:05A. Molochko1.17111111113A. Zeniuk4.50138281LSep 8 · 04:35A. Molochko1.537950D. Zeniuk2.381111113LSep 7 · 18:05A. Molochko2.00129591N. Danyliuk1.73101111113LSep 7 · 16:35A. Molochko1.575111251V. Verbyany2.25111310113WSep 7 · 15:05A. Molochko1.57911116113D. Zeniuk2.2511961142
B. Kohut10
WSep 10 · 12:55D. Pesternikov1.8098121172B. Kohut1.911111107113WSep 10 · 11:55O. Bondarchuk2.201379121B. Kohut1.61111111143WSep 8 · 11:35B. Kohut1.25115911113A. Zeniuk3.7571111882LSep 8 · 09:35N. Danyliuk1.3381111113B. Kohut3.25115981WSep 8 · 07:35A. Molochko1.44911118172B. Kohut2.63117511193LSep 8 · 06:35B. Kohut1.73117571D. Zeniuk2.0071111113LSep 8 · 05:35V. Verbyany1.80118148113B. Kohut1.91811121162LSep 7 · 19:05D. Zeniuk2.2511115113B. Kohut1.57571121WSep 7 · 17:35B. Kohut1.2512512113A. Zeniuk3.7510111071LSep 7 · 15:35V. Verbyany1.801113163B. Kohut1.91311140
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