TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110732
Played Sep 10Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119711119––
Denys Pesternikov
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Denys Pesternikov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9
76 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 9–8 Denys Pesternikov Denys Pesternikov has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Kohut beat Pesternikov 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kohut)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pesternikov form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 1.67 / Pesternikov 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kohut)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13110732
Kohut1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 36 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 28 of 38
Pesternikov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 98 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut5wins
AwayPesternikov5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut80%4 of 5
AwayPesternikov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut5Pesternikov5n = 10split evenly
S2Kohut6Pesternikov4n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S3Kohut5Pesternikov5n = 10split evenly
S4Kohut2Pesternikov5n = 7Pesternikov took 5 of 7
S5Kohut2Pesternikov1n = 3Kohut took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutPesternikovK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.737.5+0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutPesternikovBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 641 vs 590 / 110444.3%53.4%284 / 641 vs 590 / 1104Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KohutKohut 1.67/Pesternikov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Kohut · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 12:55B. Kohut—1111107113D. Pesternikov—98121172
WJan 10 · 10:35B. Kohut—91111103D. Pesternikov—119781
LDec 29 · 08:25B. Kohut—41180D. Pesternikov—1113113
WDec 27 · 08:35B. Kohut—1111143D. Pesternikov—74120
LDec 24 · 07:30B. Kohut—1011791D. Pesternikov—12611113
WDec 23 · 06:55B. Kohut—1111113D. Pesternikov—6760
LDec 22 · 14:25B. Kohut—111061252D. Pesternikov—9121110113
LDec 14 · 22:00B. Kohut—961161D. Pesternikov—11116113
LDec 13 · 06:05B. Kohut—671291D. Pesternikov—111110113
WDec 11 · 22:30B. Kohut—111195113D. Pesternikov—67111162
B. Kohut10
LSep 10 · 15:55N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.258840LSep 10 · 14:25A. Molochko1.401111113B. Kohut2.759670WSep 10 · 12:55D. Pesternikov1.8098121172B. Kohut1.911111107113WSep 10 · 11:55O. Bondarchuk2.201379121B. Kohut1.61111111143WSep 8 · 11:35B. Kohut1.25115911113A. Zeniuk3.7571111882LSep 8 · 09:35N. Danyliuk1.3381111113B. Kohut3.25115981WSep 8 · 07:35A. Molochko1.44911118172B. Kohut2.63117511193LSep 8 · 06:35B. Kohut1.73117571D. Zeniuk2.0071111113LSep 8 · 05:35V. Verbyany1.80118148113B. Kohut1.91811121162LSep 7 · 19:05D. Zeniuk2.2511115113B. Kohut1.57571121
D. Pesternikov10
WSep 10 · 16:25D. Pesternikov2.251111113O. Bondarchuk1.576640LSep 10 · 15:25D. Pesternikov4.501117671A. Molochko1.1761911113LSep 10 · 13:55D. Pesternikov5.50116761N. Danyliuk1.1381111113LSep 10 · 12:55D. Pesternikov1.8098121172B. Kohut1.911111107113LSep 8 · 10:55D. Pesternikov1.337380N. Kovalchuk3.251111113LSep 8 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.75721211113D. Pesternikov1.40111110982WSep 8 · 07:55D. Pesternikov1.171111113O. Hura4.508440WSep 8 · 06:55I. Kozachuk2.2511140982D. Pesternikov1.578121111113WSep 8 · 05:25D. Pesternikov1.5011811113S. Rak2.50811461WSep 7 · 17:55I. Romaniak2.7571050D. Pesternikov1.401112113
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