TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105709
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Stejskal
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511611118411––
Jan Pina
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Stejskal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Stejskal above · Jan Pina below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 67 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Tomas Stejskal at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Stejskal 0–1 Jan Pina Tomas Stejskal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stejskal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stejskal 1449 vs Pina 1407
Stejskal
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stejskal 40% vs Pina 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stejskal 40% vs Pina 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stejskal -2 · Pina -3
Pina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Stejskal) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stejskal form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStejskal 1.57 / Pina 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Stejskal)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13105709
Stejskal1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 25 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it68% 21 of 31
Pina2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back36% 9 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStejskal0wins
AwayPina1wins
Pina leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStejskalPinaS − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match26.041.0−15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStejskalPinaBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 217 vs 59 / 12346.1%48%100 / 217 vs 59 / 123Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StejskalStejskal 1.57/Pina 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Stejskal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 10 · 20:00T. Stejskal—561141J. Pina—11118113
T. Stejskal10
LSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67101111113T. Stejskal2.10129581LSep 10 · 18:00M. Drabek3.0021311113T. Stejskal1.361111941WAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113LAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460WAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161LAug 24 · 12:23T. Stejskal1.3011101081J. Jnr3.4081212113LAug 24 · 11:45T. Stejskal2.00610111182M. Vorel1.73111261113WAug 24 · 10:15J. Jnr2.635720T. Stejskal1.441111113LAug 24 · 09:45J. Hanacek1.9111111112123T. Stejskal1.80137514102
J. Pina10
LSep 10 · 19:00M. Drabek1.9112911113J. Pina1.801011681LSep 10 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0091111113J. Pina1.73116881LSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131WSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122WSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121LSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113WAug 27 · 21:08K. Farsky1.5711981142J. Pina2.25511117113LAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113LAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek1.6711811113J. Pina2.10911981LAug 27 · 18:00J. Botka1.611081111113J. Pina2.2012119792
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