TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105822
Played Sep 10Finished
Frantisek Schmidtmayer
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116118118––
Jan Pina
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Pina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Schmidtmayer above · Jan Pina below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jan Pina at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Schmidtmayer 0–2 Jan Pina Frantisek Schmidtmayer has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Schmidtmayer 1378 vs Pina 1420
Pina
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schmidtmayer 0% vs Pina 60%
Pina
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schmidtmayer 10% vs Pina 40%
Pina
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schmidtmayer -5 · Pina -1
Schmidtmayer
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schmidtmayer form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmidtmayer 2.00 / Pina 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pina)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13105822
Schmidtmayer2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog39% won 36 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Pina1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSchmidtmayer0wins
AwayPina2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPina leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSchmidtmayerPinaS − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.547.5−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmidtmayerPinaBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 463 vs 58 / 12046.7%48.3%216 / 463 vs 58 / 120Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PinaSchmidtmayer 2.00/Pina 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Schmidtmayer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 1 · 20:33F. Schmidtmayer—11781682J. Pina—6111114113
LJun 1 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer—681161J. Pina—11119113
F. Schmidtmayer10
LSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113LSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113LSep 1 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83991391K. Farsky1.83111111113LAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek2.38913911113F. Schmidtmayer1.53111111682LAug 28 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.1084111262M. Vana1.671111310113WAug 28 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.808111111113P. Kotrbacek1.9111481372LAug 28 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.7381290A. Dvoracek2.001114113LAug 26 · 16:29F. Schmidtmayer2.6371110111V. Toman1.4411612133LAug 26 · 15:30V. Toman1.671111113F. Schmidtmayer2.105860
J. Pina10
LSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131WSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122WSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121LSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113WAug 27 · 21:08K. Farsky1.5711981142J. Pina2.25511117113LAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113LAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek1.6711811113J. Pina2.10911981LAug 27 · 18:00J. Botka1.611081111113J. Pina2.2012119792LAug 23 · 08:59P. Abraham1.2511116113J. Pina3.75591191WAug 23 · 07:30J. Pina2.101212411113A. Dvoracek1.67101411762
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