Karel Jirousek vs Jan Pina 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13089356

Played Sep 6Finished

Karel Jirousek

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1151210711113––

Jan Pina

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Jan Pina below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 11-3

Point 70 set 4, 11-3

70 points played in total.

H2H Karel Jirousek 7–5 Jan Pina Jan Pina has won 5 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Jirousek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pina form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsJirousek 1.57 / Pina 2.25

Signal prob.60% / 40%

Edge (Jirousek)+1.2pp

Setka Cup · #13089356

Jirousek1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite47% won 43 of 92

Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18

Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45

Pina2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog38% won 13 of 34

Down 0–1, comes back36% 8 of 22

Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeJirousek6wins

AwayPina4wins

5 of 10 to a deciderJirousek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeJirousek71.4%5 of 7

AwayPina66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Jirousek7Pina3n = 10Jirousek took 7 of 10

S2Jirousek8Pina2n = 10Jirousek took 8 of 10

S3Jirousek6Pina4n = 10Jirousek took 6 of 10

S4Jirousek4Pina4n = 8split evenly

S5Jirousek1Pina4n = 5Pina took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricJirousekPinaJ − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.538.1+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricJirousekPinaBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 445 vs 58 / 11951.5%48.7%229 / 445 vs 58 / 119Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Jirousek

Jirousek 1.57/Pina 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.1%

Jirousek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Jirousek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 6 · 17:30K. Jirousek—11168113J. Pina—5141151

WAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek—11811113J. Pina—911981

LFeb 28 · 09:34K. Jirousek—11119782J. Pina—481111113

WFeb 28 · 07:00K. Jirousek—15129113J. Pina—13101151

WFeb 15 · 09:28K. Jirousek—911117113J. Pina—11441192

LFeb 15 · 07:30K. Jirousek—21171152J. Pina—118114113

WSep 27 · 19:00K. Jirousek—1111113J. Pina—5780

LSep 7 · 08:55K. Jirousek—911116112J. Pina—118611133

WSep 7 · 06:15K. Jirousek—1111113J. Pina—7870

LMay 6 · 18:00K. Jirousek—111012762J. Pina—7121011103

K. Jirousek10

LSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102 WSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133 WSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113 LSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113 WSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113 LSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950 WSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113 LAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100 LAug 27 · 19:30K. Jirousek2.0011380J. Botka1.731311113 WAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek1.6711811113J. Pina2.10911981

J. Pina10

WSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122 WSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121 LSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113 WAug 27 · 21:08K. Farsky1.5711981142J. Pina2.25511117113 LAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113 LAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek1.6711811113J. Pina2.10911981 LAug 27 · 18:00J. Botka1.611081111113J. Pina2.2012119792 LAug 23 · 08:59P. Abraham1.2511116113J. Pina3.75591191 WAug 23 · 07:30J. Pina2.101212411113A. Dvoracek1.67101411762 WAug 23 · 06:30J. Pina1.9112911113P. Hlina1.801011771

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