TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13074014
Played Sep 4Finished
Petr Kotrbacek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811911––––
Karel Jirousek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Jirousek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Kotrbacek above · Karel Jirousek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Karel Jirousek at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kotrbacek 6–10 Karel Jirousek Petr Kotrbacek has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:06What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jirousek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Jirousek
Correct
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotrbacek 1468 vs Jirousek 1450
Kotrbacek
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotrbacek 80% vs Jirousek 40%
Kotrbacek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotrbacek 60% vs Jirousek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotrbacek +3 · Jirousek -1
Kotrbacek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jirousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirousek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotrbacek 1.91 / Jirousek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jirousek)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13074014
Kotrbacek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 29 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Jirousek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 43 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it67% 31 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotrbacek4wins
AwayJirousek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJirousek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotrbacek50%4 of 8
AwayJirousekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotrbacek8Jirousek2n = 10Kotrbacek took 8 of 10
S2Kotrbacek6Jirousek4n = 10Kotrbacek took 6 of 10
S3Kotrbacek3Jirousek7n = 10Jirousek took 7 of 10
S4Kotrbacek2Jirousek5n = 7Jirousek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotrbacekJirousekK − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.737.3−1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotrbacekJirousekBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 267 vs 226 / 44046.8%51.4%125 / 267 vs 226 / 440Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.540.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirousekKotrbacek 1.91/Jirousek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jirousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jirousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 20:00P. Kotrbacek—11114113K. Jirousek—891181
LAug 17 · 17:04P. Kotrbacek—111178102K. Jirousek—571111123
LAug 17 · 14:30P. Kotrbacek—61180K. Jirousek—1113113
WAug 15 · 20:35P. Kotrbacek—11116113K. Jirousek—571191
LAug 15 · 17:30P. Kotrbacek—116591K. Jirousek—81111113
WJul 24 · 14:30P. Kotrbacek—1111113K. Jirousek—4580
LJul 19 · 06:15P. Kotrbacek—515841K. Jirousek—111311113
LJul 12 · 07:30P. Kotrbacek—116841K. Jirousek—61111113
WJul 9 · 19:00P. Kotrbacek—1211113K. Jirousek—10790
LMay 24 · 09:13P. Kotrbacek—119125132K. Jirousek—8111011153
P. Kotrbacek10
WSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092WSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113WSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113WSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113WSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113LSep 1 · 14:00T. Bertho1.61111617113P. Kotrbacek2.207141931WAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek2.38913911113F. Schmidtmayer1.53111111682LAug 28 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.801361410152A. Dvoracek1.9111111212173LAug 28 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.808111111113P. Kotrbacek1.9111481372
K. Jirousek10
WSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131LSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102WSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133WSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113LSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113LSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950WSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113LAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100LAug 27 · 19:30K. Jirousek2.0011380J. Botka1.731311113WAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek1.6711811113J. Pina2.10911981
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.