TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055661
Played Sep 1Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11716141719113––
Petr Kotrbacek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:36 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Petr Kotrbacek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 17-19
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 98 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 54.9%
98 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 6–7 Petr Kotrbacek Tadeas Bertho has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:36What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Bertho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1413 vs Kotrbacek 1453
Kotrbacek
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 40% vs Kotrbacek 60%
Kotrbacek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 40% vs Kotrbacek 60%
Kotrbacek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho -2 · Kotrbacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotrbacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.61 / Kotrbacek 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Bertho)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13055661
Bertho1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 78 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 60 of 76
Kotrbacek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 28 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBertho6wins
AwayKotrbacek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertho100%4 of 4
AwayKotrbacek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho4Kotrbacek6n = 10Kotrbacek took 6 of 10
S2Bertho3Kotrbacek7n = 10Kotrbacek took 7 of 10
S3Bertho7Kotrbacek3n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S4Bertho4Kotrbacek5n = 9Kotrbacek took 5 of 9
S5Bertho3Kotrbacek0n = 3Bertho took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerthoKotrbacekB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.238.1+2.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoKotrbacekBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 646 vs 123 / 26552.6%46.4%340 / 646 vs 123 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.61/Kotrbacek 2.20
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 23 · 08:00T. Bertho—11118123P. Kotrbacek—9911101
LMay 9 · 20:34T. Bertho—91070P. Kotrbacek—1112113
WMay 9 · 19:00T. Bertho—1110119113P. Kotrbacek—91291182
WFeb 28 · 18:30T. Bertho—9101411113P. Kotrbacek—111212542
WFeb 23 · 22:00T. Bertho—811117123P. Kotrbacek—118711102
WFeb 23 · 21:00T. Bertho—11611113P. Kotrbacek—711451
LJan 24 · 21:55T. Bertho—10121181P. Kotrbacek—12143113
LNov 2 · 09:30T. Bertho—561161P. Kotrbacek—11114103
WNov 2 · 07:00T. Bertho—11711113P. Kotrbacek—711281
LOct 13 · 20:00T. Bertho—611491P. Kotrbacek—11411113
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113
P. Kotrbacek10
WSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113WSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113WSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113WSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113WSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113WAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek2.38913911113F. Schmidtmayer1.53111111682LAug 28 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.801361410152A. Dvoracek1.9111111212173LAug 28 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.808111111113P. Kotrbacek1.9111481372
Upcoming Matches
T. Bertho
P. Kotrbacek
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