TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060810
Played Sep 2Finished
Miroslav Vana
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811118811––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vana to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Vana above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Miroslav Vana at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vana 11–10 Tadeas Bertho Tadeas Bertho has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:53What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Bertho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vana 1566 vs Bertho 1462
Vana
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vana 80% vs Bertho 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vana 70% vs Bertho 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vana -1 · Bertho +4
Bertho
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 1.83 / Bertho 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vana)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13060810
Vana1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Bertho1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVana5wins
AwayBertho5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVana42.9%3 of 7
AwayBertho33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vana7Bertho3n = 10Vana took 7 of 10
S2Vana5Bertho5n = 10split evenly
S3Vana4Bertho6n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S4Vana4Bertho6n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S5Vana3Bertho3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVanaBerthoV − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.344.5−0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 357 vs 344 / 65052.1%52.9%186 / 357 vs 344 / 650Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVana 1.83/Bertho 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 08:00M. Vana—1191211113T. Bertho—71114792
LApr 20 · 06:45M. Vana—116129112T. Bertho—7111011133
LFeb 10 · 06:30M. Vana—113671T. Bertho—41111113
WJan 5 · 07:00M. Vana—111112113T. Bertho—1381051
LNov 27 · 14:00M. Vana—11861192T. Bertho—811119113
WNov 27 · 11:30M. Vana—11812133T. Bertho—71110111
LSep 26 · 12:38M. Vana—111151362T. Bertho—861115113
LSep 26 · 09:30M. Vana—1511551T. Bertho—17611113
WSep 18 · 09:57M. Vana—111167113T. Bertho—59111142
WSep 16 · 11:00M. Vana—8111110113T. Bertho—11791282
M. Vana10
LSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192LSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123WSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143LSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691LAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113WAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Vana2.10121011113L. Hendrych1.671012991
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113WSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450
Upcoming Matches
M. Vana
Nothing scheduled
T. Bertho
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