TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13063176
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleh Plyska
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118101211911131214
Miroslav Vana
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOleh Plyska above · Miroslav Vana below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 111 set 5, 12-14
111 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Plyska 25–17 Miroslav Vana Miroslav Vana has won 17 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vana form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlyska 1.91 / Vana 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vana)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13063176
Plyska1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back24% 20 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Vana1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 49 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlyska5wins
AwayVana5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlyska33.3%2 of 6
AwayVana25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plyska6Vana4n = 10Plyska took 6 of 10
S2Plyska5Vana5n = 10split evenly
S3Plyska7Vana3n = 10Plyska took 7 of 10
S4Plyska4Vana6n = 10Vana took 6 of 10
S5Plyska2Vana4n = 6Vana took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlyskaVanaP − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.941.6+1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlyskaVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 682 vs 187 / 36049.4%51.9%337 / 682 vs 187 / 360Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaPlyska 1.91/Vana 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vana won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 07:30O. Plyska—711113113M. Vana—11691162
WAug 24 · 09:08O. Plyska—71111113M. Vana—113781
LAug 24 · 07:00O. Plyska—116111362M. Vana—711715113
LAug 22 · 16:59O. Plyska—15471182M. Vana—1311117113
WAug 22 · 14:30O. Plyska—11811673M. Vana—71191112
LJul 18 · 16:38O. Plyska—113118122M. Vana—411311143
WJul 18 · 13:30O. Plyska—101111113M. Vana—126771
LJul 13 · 08:33O. Plyska—1111810102M. Vana—891112123
WJul 13 · 07:30O. Plyska—12411113M. Vana—1011741
LJul 8 · 10:45O. Plyska—611991M. Vana—11911113
O. Plyska10
LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122WSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123WSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 06:00O. Plyska1.9111118113J. Hanacek1.80641131WAug 29 · 16:39J. Jnr2.6311561172O. Plyska1.44811119113
M. Vana10
LSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192LSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123LSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691LSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113LAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113WAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Vana2.10121011113L. Hendrych1.671012991
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