TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060481
Played Sep 2Finished
Miroslav Vana
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101151416119––
Josef Hanacek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vana to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Vana above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 88 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Miroslav Vana at 62.8%
88 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vana 9–3 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vana
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Vana
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vana 1550 vs Hanacek 1413
Vana
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vana 60% vs Hanacek 40%
Vana
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vana 60% vs Hanacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vana -2 · Hanacek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 1.53 / Hanacek 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Vana)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13060481
Vana1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 53 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Hanacek2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 53 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back31% 19 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVana8wins
AwayHanacek2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVana leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVana77.8%7 of 9
AwayHanacekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vana9Hanacek1n = 10Vana took 9 of 10
S2Vana4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S3Vana6Hanacek4n = 10Vana took 6 of 10
S4Vana4Hanacek4n = 8split evenly
S5Vana3Hanacek0n = 3Vana took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVanaHanacekV − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.536.0+4.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 361 vs 225 / 43452.4%51.8%189 / 361 vs 225 / 434Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVana 1.53/Hanacek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vana won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana—1112114113J. Hanacek—91471192
WSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana—121114113J. Hanacek—1051691
WAug 22 · 14:00M. Vana—119118113J. Hanacek—71171142
WAug 15 · 11:30M. Vana—1111113J. Hanacek—7870
WJul 27 · 05:30M. Vana—111011113J. Hanacek—912541
LJul 18 · 15:00M. Vana—126651J. Hanacek—101111113
WJul 13 · 05:30M. Vana—81111113J. Hanacek—115431
WJun 10 · 06:30M. Vana—1111113J. Hanacek—7960
WJun 8 · 11:00M. Vana—117713113J. Hanacek—711111182
LFeb 25 · 09:28M. Vana—119731J. Hanacek—91111113
M. Vana10
LSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192LSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123WSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143LSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113LSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113LAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113WAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Vana2.10121011113L. Hendrych1.671012991
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 06:00O. Plyska1.9111118113J. Hanacek1.80641131
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