TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060615
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleh Plyska
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116114811113––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Plyska above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 65 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Josef Hanacek at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Plyska 19–14 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:55What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hanacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-14 in 33
Plyska
Correct
gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plyska 1548 vs Hanacek 1413
Plyska
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plyska 40% vs Hanacek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plyska 40% vs Hanacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plyska +1 · Hanacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plyska) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlyska 1.91 / Hanacek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plyska)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060615
Plyska1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 69 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back26% 22 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Hanacek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 68 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it84% 46 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlyska6wins
AwayHanacek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPlyska leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlyska71.4%5 of 7
AwayHanacek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plyska7Hanacek3n = 10Plyska took 7 of 10
S2Plyska4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S3Plyska6Hanacek4n = 10Plyska took 6 of 10
S4Plyska3Hanacek4n = 7Hanacek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlyskaHanacekP − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.034.0+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlyskaHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 686 vs 225 / 43449.4%51.8%339 / 686 vs 225 / 434Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlyskaPlyska 1.91/Hanacek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Plyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Plyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska—117111113J. Hanacek—41181192
WSep 2 · 06:00O. Plyska—11118113J. Hanacek—641131
LAug 29 · 13:30O. Plyska—8580J. Hanacek—1111113
WAug 25 · 12:28O. Plyska—1211113J. Hanacek—10490
LAug 25 · 10:00O. Plyska—1161101J. Hanacek—71111123
WAug 22 · 15:30O. Plyska—101111113J. Hanacek—128881
WAug 8 · 17:04O. Plyska—111012113J. Hanacek—8121041
LAug 8 · 14:30O. Plyska—8711101J. Hanacek—11112123
WAug 7 · 11:00O. Plyska—1311113J. Hanacek—11570
LAug 1 · 20:53O. Plyska—1366121J. Hanacek—111111143
O. Plyska10
WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122WSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123LSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143WSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691
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